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Emulating a Long-Term Energy Scenario with the MERGE2 Model

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  • P.G.C. Mensink

Abstract

An attempt is made to mimic a long-term global energy scenario, derived with IIASA's MESSAGE III model, with a version of Manne and Richel's MERGE2 model. If successful this would mean that MERGE2 could be used as an easy-to-handle-substitute for the MESSAGE III model to investigate preliminary research questions, meanwhile taking advantage of its relative consistent description the world's environment-energy- economy interactions. It is concluded that the MERGE2R4 model, based on the MERGE2 model, could be both suitable and useful for investigating preliminary research questions to reduce reduce time spent in exploring new research fields with the MESSAGE III model. The consistent description of interregional trade and feedback of climate damage and energy costs in the MERGE2R4 ensures that long-term energy and climate change issues in a broader research field can be assessed than with MESSAGE III alone. This limited mimicking effort can be interpreted as a first stage of structural sensitivity analyses.

Suggested Citation

  • P.G.C. Mensink, 2000. "Emulating a Long-Term Energy Scenario with the MERGE2 Model," Working Papers ir00029, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.
    • Handle: RePEc:wop:iasawp:ir00029
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Manne, Alan & Mendelsohn, Robert & Richels, Richard, 1995. "MERGE : A model for evaluating regional and global effects of GHG reduction policies," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 17-34, January.
    2. Felder Stefan & Rutherford Thomas F., 1993. "Unilateral CO2 Reductions and Carbon Leakage: The Consequences of International Trade in Oil and Basic Materials," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 25(2), pages 162-176, September.
    3. Alan Manne & Richard Richels, 1995. "The Greenhouse Debate: Econonmic Efficiency, Burden Sharing and Hedging Strategies," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 4), pages 1-38.
    4. Manne, Alan S, 1995. "The rate of time preference : Implications for the greenhouse debate," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 23(4-5), pages 391-394.
    5. Y.M. Ermoliev & G. Fischer & V.I. Norkin, 1996. "On Convergence of the Sequential Joint Maximization Method for Applied Equilibrium Problems," Working Papers wp96118, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.
    6. Alan Manne & Richard Richels, 1992. "Buying Greenhouse Insurance: The Economic Costs of CO2 Emission Limits," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 026213280x, December.
    7. Alan S. Manne & Richard G. Richels, 1999. "The Kyoto Protocol: A Cost-Effective Strategy for Meeting Environmental Objectives?," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Special I), pages 1-23.
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