Economic Performance and Leadership Accountability: An Econometric Analysis
AbstractLogit models of leadership duration test whether different agents are responsible for constitutional and unconstitutional transfers of power. Lagged values of per capita real investment have a significantly negative impact on unconstitutional transitions. This suggests that the elites of less developed countries determine the timing of unconstitutional transfers as they are the ones with investment capabilities. Lagged values of per capita real consumption are associated with the well-being of an average citizen. However, consumption exerts an unexpected positive influence on constitutional transitions when political regime differences are not taken into account. This significant effect disappears with the inclusion of parliamentary and presidential regime dummies.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Wilfrid Laurier University, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 97-7.
Length: 42 pages
Date of creation: 1997
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ECONOMIC MODELS ; REGRESSION ANALYSIS;
Other versions of this item:
- M. E. Gallego, 1998. "Economic Performance and Leadership Accountability: An Econometric Analysis," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 10(3), pages 249-296, November.
- D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
- C35 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions
- C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
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- Maria Gallego & Carolyn Pitchik, 1999.
"An Economic Theory of Leadership Turnover,"
pitchik-99-01, University of Toronto, Department of Economics.
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