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Technological progress and regional disparities in (un)employment

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  • Uwe Blien
  • Oliver Ludewig

Abstract

One of the key issues in economics is the explanation of unemployment and its variation across different economies. Doing so, modern mainstream macroeconomics refers to the effects of financial crises and to institutional structures and their variation across countries. However, unemployment within the European states varies nearly as much as between these countries. In the interior of a country, however, there are only minor differences in institutions. Therefore, the large variation in regional unemployment and in the development of employment is puzzling. Our explanation of this regional variation of unemployment builds on the regional industry composition and technological progress. It is shown formally that under very general and standard preconditions the elasticity of demand on product markets is decisive: Technological progress leads to an expansion of employment if product demand is elastic. It is accompanied, however, by shrinkage of employment if product demand is inelastic. A transition from the elastic into the inelastic range of the demand function for the most important product(s) can already suffice to plunge a region into crisis. In our empirical analysis we use industry level time series data on output, prices, employment and national income for Germany provided by the Federal Statistical Office and the OECD. We estimate Marshallian type demand functions using an instrumental variables estimator to derive the price elasticities for different industries and link this information to the regional labour market performance of the respective industries and regions.

Suggested Citation

  • Uwe Blien & Oliver Ludewig, 2014. "Technological progress and regional disparities in (un)employment," ERSA conference papers ersa14p261, European Regional Science Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:wiw:wiwrsa:ersa14p261
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Thijs ten Raa & Ronald Schettkat (ed.), 2001. "The Growth of Service Industries," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 2137.
    2. Gort, Michael & Klepper, Steven, 1982. "Time Paths in the Diffusion of Product Innovations," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 92(367), pages 630-653, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Marusca De Castris & Guido Pellegrini, 2015. "Agglomeration Effects On Regional Unemployment In Europe," Working Papers 0715, CREI Università degli Studi Roma Tre, revised 2015.
    2. Arntz, Melanie & Gregory, Terry & Zierahn, Ulrich, 2016. "ELS issues in robotics and steps to consider them. Part 1: Robotics and employment. Consequences of robotics and technological change for the structure and level of employment," ZEW Expertises, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 146501.
    3. Dauth, Wolfgang, 2014. "Job polarization on local labor markets," IAB-Discussion Paper 201418, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    4. Mark Partridge & Alexandra Tsvetkova & Michael Betz, 2021. "Are the most productive regions necessarily the most successful? Local effects of productivity growth on employment and earnings," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(1), pages 30-61, January.
    5. Azio Barani, 2021. "Innovazione tecnologica e lavoro: automazione, occupazione e impatti socio-economici," QUADERNI DI ECONOMIA DEL LAVORO, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 0(114), pages 51-79.
    6. Blien Uwe & Möller Joachim & Hong Van Phan thi & Brunow Stephan, 2016. "Long-Lasting Labour Market Consequences of German Unification," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 236(2), pages 181-216, March.
    7. Weber, Enzo, 2014. "Das Ziel der Vollbeschäftigung in Deutschland: Fern, aber erreichbar (The goal of full employment in Germany : Far, but achievable)," IAB-Kurzbericht 201415, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    8. Janser, Markus, 2018. "The greening of jobs in Germany : First evidence from a text mining based index and employment register data," IAB-Discussion Paper 201814, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • Q33 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Resource Booms (Dutch Disease)
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand

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