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Does Complexity Matter? Methods for Improving Forecasting Accuracy in Tourism

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Author Info
Egon Smeral (WIFO)
Michael Wüger (WIFO)

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Paper provided by WIFO in its series WIFO Working Papers with number 225.

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Length: 29 pages
Date of creation: 14 Jul 2004
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Handle: RePEc:wfo:wpaper:y:2004:i:225

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Related research
Keywords: calendar effects; econometric indicator approach; multivariate time series model; outlier detection; transfer function;

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Robert J. Hodrick & Edward Prescott, 1981. "Post-War U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation," Discussion Papers 451, Northwestern University, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Forni, Mario & Hallin, Marc & Lippi, Marco & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2000. "Reference Cycles: The NBER Methodology Revisited," CEPR Discussion Papers 2400, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Thomas J. Sargent & Christopher A. Sims, 1977. "Business cycle modeling without pretending to have too much a priori economic theory," Working Papers 55, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
  4. Mario Forni & Marc Hallin & Marco Lippi & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2000. "The Generalized Dynamic-Factor Model: Identification And Estimation," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 82(4), pages 540-554, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Lim, Christine & McAleer, Michael, 2001. "Cointegration Analysis of Quarterly Tourism Demand by Hong Kong and Singapore for Australia," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 33(12), pages 1599-1619, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Song, Haiyan & Witt, Stephen F. & Jensen, Thomas C., 2003. "Tourism forecasting: accuracy of alternative econometric models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 123-141. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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