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Privatization, Political Risk and Stock Market Development in Emerging Economies

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Author Info
Enrico C. Perotti
Pieter van Oijen

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Abstract

This paper investigates whether privatization in emerging economies has a significant indirect effect on local stock market development through the resolution of political risk. We argue that a sustained privatization is correlated with improvements in perceived political risk. These gains tend to be gradual over the privatization period and are significantly larger in privatizing countries than in nonprivatizing countries, suggesting that the resolution of such risk is endogenous to the privatization process. Our analysis shows further that changes in political risk in general tend to have a strong effect on local stock market development and excess returns in emerging economies, suggesting that political risk is a priced factor. We conclude that the resolution of political risk resulting from successful privatization has been an important source for the rapid growth of stock markets in emerging economies.

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Paper provided by William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan Stephen M. Ross Business School in its series William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series with number 243.

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Date of creation: 01 Mar 1999
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Handle: RePEc:wdi:papers:1999-243

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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  2. Roland, Gerard & Verdier, Thierry, 1994. "Privatization in Eastern Europe : Irreversibility and critical mass effects," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(2), pages 161-183, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Pagano, Marco, 1993. "Financial markets and growth: An overview," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 37(2-3), pages 613-622, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Levine, Ross & Zervos, Sara, 1998. "Stock Markets, Banks, and Economic Growth," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 88(3), pages 537-58, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Luders, Rolf J, 1991. "Massive Divestiture and Privatization: Lessons from Chile," Contemporary Economic Policy, Oxford University Press, vol. 9(4), pages 1-19, October.
  6. Rock, Kevin, 1986. "Why new issues are underpriced," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(1-2), pages 187-212. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Levine, Ross, 1991. " Stock Markets, Growth, and Tax Policy," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(4), pages 1445-65, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Bekaert, Geert, 1995. "Market Integration and Investment Barriers in Emerging Equity Markets," World Bank Economic Review, Oxford University Press, vol. 9(1), pages 75-107, January.
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  14. Claessens, Stijn, 1995. "The Emergence of Equity Investment in Developing Countries: Overview," World Bank Economic Review, Oxford University Press, vol. 9(1), pages 1-17, January.
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  16. Leonardo Bartolini & Allan Drazen, 1997. "Capital Account Liberalization as a Signal," NBER Working Papers 5725, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  17. Rafael La Porta & Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes & Andrei Shleifer & Robert W. Vishny, 1998. "Law and Finance," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 106(6), pages 1113-1155, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  18. Pagano, Marco, 1989. "Endogenous Market Thinness and Stock Price Volatility," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(2), pages 269-87, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  19. Grinblatt, Mark & Hwang, Chuan Yang, 1989. " Signalling and the Pricing of New Issues," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 44(2), pages 393-420, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  21. Biais, Bruno & Perotti, Enrico C, 1998. "Machiavellian Underpricing," CEPR Discussion Papers 2014, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  22. Cherian, Joseph A & Perotti, Enrico C, 1999. "Option Pricing and Foreign Investment under Political Risk," CEPR Discussion Papers 2327, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  23. Volume 22 Number 1, 1993. "The Structure of Privatization Plans," Financial Management, Financial Management Association, vol. 22(1), Spring.
Full references

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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Carla Vieira & Ana Paula Serra, 2005. "Abnormal Returns in Privatization Public Offerings: The Case of Portuguese Firms," Working Papers 2005.43, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei. [Downloadable!]
  2. Jan Hanousek & Nauro F. Campos & Randall K. Filer, 2001. "Do Stock Markets Promote Economic Growth?," Finance 0012006, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Massimo Florio & Katiuscia Manzoni, 2004. "Abnormal returns of UK privatizations: from underpricing to outperformance," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 36(2), pages 119-136, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Wdowinski, Piotr, 2004. "Determinants of Country Beta Risk in Poland," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo GmbH. [Downloadable!]
  5. Alberto Chong & Alejandro Riaño, 2006. "Political Environment and Privatization Prices," RES Working Papers 1057, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  6. Rene M. Stulz, 2005. "The Limits of Financial Globalization," NBER Working Papers 11070, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  7. Enrico C. Perotti & Luc Laeven & Pieter van Oijen, 2000. "Confidence Building in Emerging Stock Markets," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series 366, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan Stephen M. Ross Business School. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  8. Geert Bekaert & Campbell R. Harvey & Christian Lundblad, 2004. "Does Financial Liberalization Spur Growth?," Research series 200405-9, National Bank of Belgium. [Downloadable!]
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  9. Wolfgang Aussenegg, 1999. "Going Public in Poland: Case-by-Case Privatizations, Mass Privatization and Private Sector Initial Public Offerings," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series 292, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan Stephen M. Ross Business School. [Downloadable!]
  10. Elias Papaioannou, 2004. "International Bank Flows:Determinants and Institutional Role," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004 28, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
  11. Bruno Biais & Enrico Perotti, 2002. "Machiavellian Privatization," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 92(1), pages 240-258, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Rodolfo Martell & Rene M. Stulz, 2003. "Equity market liberalizations as country IPOs," NBER Working Papers 9481, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  13. Kai Li, 2004. "The Growth of Global Equity Markets: A Closer Look," Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings 54, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
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