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Accommodating migration to promote adaptation to climate change

Author

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  • Barnett, Jon
  • Webber, Michael

Abstract

This paper explains how climate change may increase future migration, and which risks are associated with such migration. It also examines how some of this migration may enhance the capacity of communities to adapt to climate change. Climate change is likely to result in some increase above baseline rates of migration in the next 40 years. Most of this migration will occur within developing countries. There is little reason to think that such migration will increase the risk of violent conflict. Not all movements in response to climate change will have negative outcomes for the people that move, or the places they come from and go to. Migration, a proven development strategy, can increase the capacity of communities to adapt to climate change. The fewer choices people have about moving, however, the less likely it is that the outcomes of that movement will be positive. Involuntary resettlement should be a last resort. Many of the most dire risks arising from climate-motivated migration can be avoided through careful policy. Policy responses to minimize the risks associated with migration in response to climate change, and to maximize migration’s contribution to adaptive capacity include: ensuring that migrants have the same rights and opportunities as host communities; reducing the costs of moving money and people between areas of origin and destination; facilitating mutual understanding among migrants and host communities; clarifying property rights where they are contested; ensuring that efforts to assist migrants include host communities; and strengthening regional and international emergency response systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Barnett, Jon & Webber, Michael, 2010. "Accommodating migration to promote adaptation to climate change," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5270, The World Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:5270
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. ., 2012. "Migration impact assessment: a state of the art," Chapters, in: Peter Nijkamp & Jacques Poot & Mediha Sahin (ed.), Migration Impact Assessment, chapter 1, pages 3-62, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    2. Maxmillan Martin & Yi hyun Kang & Motasim Billah & Tasneem Siddiqui & Richard Black & Dominic Kniveton, 2017. "Climate-influenced migration in Bangladesh: The need for a policy realignment," Development Policy Review, Overseas Development Institute, vol. 35, pages 357-379, October.
    3. Fernández-Huertas Moraga, Jesús & Rapoport, Hillel, 2014. "Tradable immigration quotas," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 94-108.
    4. Yinru Lei & C. Max Finlayson & Rik Thwaites & Guoqing Shi & Lijuan Cui, 2017. "Using Government Resettlement Projects as a Sustainable Adaptation Strategy for Climate Change," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-16, August.
    5. Beatriz Felipe Pérez & Alexandra Tomaselli, 2021. "Indigenous Peoples and climate-induced relocation in Latin America and the Caribbean: managed retreat as a tool or a threat?," Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences, Springer;Association of Environmental Studies and Sciences, vol. 11(3), pages 352-364, September.
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    8. Linyi Zhou & Demi Zhu & Wei Shen, 2022. "Social Stability Risk Assessment of Disaster-Preventive Migration in Ethnic Minority Areas of Southwest China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(10), pages 1-16, May.
    9. Alex Bowen & Sarah Cochrane & Samuel Fankhauser, 2012. "Climate change, adaptation and economic growth," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 113(2), pages 95-106, July.
    10. Wei Liu & Jie Xu & Jie Li & Shuzhuo Li, 2019. "Rural Households’ Poverty and Relocation and Settlement: Evidence from Western China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-17, July.
    11. Ghimire, Ramesh & Ferreira, Susana & Dorfman, Jeffrey H., 2015. "Flood-Induced Displacement and Civil Conflict," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 614-628.
    12. Carol Farbotko & Celia McMichael & Olivia Dun & Hedda Ransan‐Cooper & Karen E. McNamara & Fanny Thornton, 2018. "Transformative mobilities in the Pacific: Promoting adaptation and development in a changing climate," Asia and the Pacific Policy Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 5(3), pages 393-407, September.
    13. Gröschl, Jasmin, 2012. "Climate Change and the Relocation of Population," VfS Annual Conference 2012 (Goettingen): New Approaches and Challenges for the Labor Market of the 21st Century 66058, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    14. Jasmin Gröschl & Thomas Steinwachs, 2017. "Do Natural Hazards Cause International Migration?," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo, vol. 63(4), pages 445-480.
    15. Lore Van Praag & Samuel Lietaer & Caroline Michellier, 2021. "A Qualitative Study on How Perceptions of Environmental Changes are Linked to Migration in Morocco, Senegal, and DR Congo," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/333295, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    16. Jasmin Katrin Gröschl, 2013. "Gravity Model Applications and Macroeconomic Perspectives," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 48.
    17. Thomas Birk & Kjeld Rasmussen, 2014. "Migration from atolls as climate change adaptation: Current practices, barriers and options in Solomon Islands," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 38(1), pages 1-13, February.
    18. Anamaria Bukvic, 2019. "Visualizing the Possibility of Relocation: Coastal Relocation Leaf," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 8(6), pages 1-12, June.
    19. Anamaria Bukvic, 2015. "Identifying gaps and inconsistencies in the use of relocation rhetoric: a prerequisite for sound relocation policy and planning," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 20(7), pages 1203-1209, October.
    20. Michael Brzoska, 2019. "Understanding the Disaster–Migration–Violent Conflict Nexus in a Warming World: The Importance of International Policy Interventions," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 8(6), pages 1-17, May.
    21. Wei Liu & Jingxuan Zhang & Long Qian, 2022. "Measuring Community Resilience and Its Determinants: Relocated Vulnerable Community in Western China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(1), pages 1-20, December.
    22. Nijkamp, P. & Poot, H.J., 2012. "Migration impact assessment: A state of the art," Serie Research Memoranda 0009, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.
    23. Walelign, Solomon Zena & Lujala, Päivi, 2022. "A place-based framework for assessing resettlement capacity in the context of displacement induced by climate change," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    24. Liu, Wei & Li, Jie & Xu, Jie, 2020. "Impact of the ecological resettlement program in southern Shaanxi Province, China on households' livelihood strategies," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    25. Thomas Steinwachs, 2019. "Geography Matters: Spatial Dimensions of Trade, Migration and Growth," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 81.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Population Policies; Climate Change Mitigation and Green House Gases; Health Monitoring&Evaluation; Climate Change Economics; Voluntary and Involuntary Resettlement;
    All these keywords.

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