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What explains stock markets'vulnerability to the 2007-2008 crisis ?

Author

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  • Didier, Tatiana
  • Love, Inessa
  • Peria, Maria Soledad Martinez

Abstract

This paper examines the determinants of stock markets'vulnerability to the 2007-2008 crisis. Given that the United States (US) was the crisis epicenter, the authors analyze the factors driving the co-movement between US returns and stock returns in 83 countries. The analysis distinguishes between the period before and after the collapse of Lehman Brothers. The findings indicate that the main channel of transmission was financial. There is also evidence of a"wake-up call"or"demonstration effect"in the first stage of the crisis, because countries with vulnerable banking and corporate sectors exhibited higher co-movement with the US market. However, despite a collapse in trade across countries, the analysis does not find support for this channel of transmission.

Suggested Citation

  • Didier, Tatiana & Love, Inessa & Peria, Maria Soledad Martinez, 2010. "What explains stock markets'vulnerability to the 2007-2008 crisis ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5224, The World Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:5224
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Alexandra Born & Zeno Enders, 2019. "Global Banking, Trade, and the International Transmission of the Great Recession," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 129(623), pages 2691-2721.
    2. Brandao-Marques, Luis & Gelos, Gaston & Melgar, Natalia, 2018. "Country transparency and the global transmission of financial shocks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 56-72.
    3. Yoko Shinagawa, 2014. "Determinants of Financial Market Spillovers: The Role of Portfolio Diversification, Trade, Home Bias, and Concentration," IMF Working Papers 2014/187, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Kinga Niemczak, 2013. "Corporate Debt And Crisis Severity In Europe," "e-Finanse", University of Information Technology and Management, Institute of Financial Research and Analysis, vol. 9(1), pages 35-43, May.
    5. Rudiger Ahrend & Antoine Goujard, 2012. "International Capital Mobility and Financial Fragility - Part 6. Are all Forms of Financial Integration Equally Risky in Times of Financial Turmoil?: Asset Price Contagion During the Global Financial ," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 969, OECD Publishing.
    6. Lupu, Radu, 2011. "Shock transmission among the European Stock markets - Conferinta CRESTERE ECONOMICA SI SUSTENABILITATE SOCIALA. PROVOCARI SI PERSPECTIVE EUROPENE>," Institute for Economic Forecasting Conference Proceedings 101101, Institute for Economic Forecasting.
    7. Kim, Bong-Han & Kim, Hyeongwoo & Lee, Bong-Soo, 2015. "Spillover effects of the U.S. financial crisis on financial markets in emerging Asian countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 192-210.
    8. Kristin Forbes, 2012. "The "Big C": Identifying Contagion," NBER Working Papers 18465, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Kae-Yih Tzeng & Christina Tay, 2014. "Transmission of the U.S. Subprime Crisis and the European Sovereign Debt Crisis to Emerging Markets," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 4(3), pages 1-12.
    10. Narayan, Seema & Ur Rehman, Mobeen, 2017. "Diversification opportunities between emerging and frontier Asian (EFA) and developed stock markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 223-232.
    11. repec:rze:efinan:v:9:y:2012:i:1:p:35-43 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Mobarek, Asma & Muradoglu, Gulnur & Mollah, Sabur & Hou, Ai Jun, 2016. "Determinants of time varying co-movements among international stock markets during crisis and non-crisis periods," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 1-11.
    13. Fernanda G Barba & Paulo S Ceretta, 2011. "Risk transmission between Latin America stock markets and the US: impacts of the 2007/2008 Crisis," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(2), pages 1025-1037.
    14. Kristin J. Forbes, 2012. "The “Big C”: identifying and mitigating contagion," Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 23-87.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Debt Markets; Mutual Funds; Markets and Market Access; Economic Theory&Research; Emerging Markets;
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