Trade openness reduces growth volatility when countries are well diversified
AbstractThis paper addresses the mechanisms by which trade openness affects growth volatility. Using a diverse set of export diversification indicators, it presents strong evidence pointing to an important role for export diversification in reducing the effect of trade openness on growth volatility. The authors also identify positive thresholds for product diversification at which the effect of openness on volatility changes sign. The effect is shown to be positive only for a minority of countries with highly concentrated export baskets. This result is shown to be robust to both explicit accounting for endogeneity as well as the inclusion of a host of additional controls.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by The World Bank in its series Policy Research Working Paper Series with number 5222.
Date of creation: 01 Feb 2010
Date of revision:
Economic Conditions and Volatility; Achieving Shared Growth; Markets and Market Access; Free Trade; Emerging Markets;
Other versions of this item:
- Mona Haddad & Jamus Jerome Lim & Cosimo Pancaro & Christian Saborowski, 2013. "Trade openness reduces growth volatility when countries are well diversified," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 46(2), pages 765-790, May.
- Haddad, Mona & Lim, Jamus Jerome & Pancaro, Cosimo & Saborowski, Christian, 2012. "Trade openness reduces growth volatility when countries are well diversified," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank 1491, European Central Bank.
- F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
- F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2010-04-17 (All new papers)
- NEP-DEV-2010-04-17 (Development)
- NEP-INT-2010-04-17 (International Trade)
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