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Assessing the impact of political economy factors on rules of origin under NAFTA

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Author Info
Portugal-Perez, Alberto

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Abstract

Rules of origin are legitimate policy instruments to prevent trade deflection in a preferential trade agreement short of a customs union. Trade deflection takes place when a product imported into the preferential trade agreement through the member with the lowest external tariff is transhipped to a higher-tariff member, while yielding a benefit for the re-exporter. Yet, when captured by special interest groups, rules of origin can restrict trade beyond what is needed to prevent trade deflection. By how much do political economy factors account for the stringency of rules of origin? This study quantifies the impact of both determinants - those considered"justifiable"because they prevent trade deflection and those deemed to arise from"political economy"forces - on the restrictiveness of rules of origin under the North American Free Trade Agreement, approximated by a restrictiveness index. The main finding is that political economy forces, especially from the United States, raised significantly the restrictiveness of the rules of origin. Indeed, in industries where political-economy forces were strong prior to the North American Free Trade Agreement, as when the U.S. Most Favored Nation tariff was high or the revealed comparative advantage of Mexico (the United States) was strong (weak), more stringent rules of origin were introduced. Thus, stricter rules of origin are associated with higher production costs reducing the potential benefits of enhanced market access that is initially pursued by this type of agreement.

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Paper provided by The World Bank in its series Policy Research Working Paper Series with number 4848.

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Date of creation: 01 Feb 2009
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Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:4848

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Related research
Keywords: Free Trade; Economic Theory&Research; Trade Policy; Trade Law; Debt Markets;

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  1. Anson, José & Cadot, Olivier & de Melo, Jaime & Estevadeordal, Antoni & Suwa Eisenmann, Akiko & Tumurchudur, Bolormaa, 2003. "Rules of Origin in North-South Preferential Trading Arrangements with an Application to NAFTA," CEPR Discussion Papers 4166, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Jason Abrevaya & Jerry A. Hausman, 1999. "Semiparametric Estimation with Mismeasured Dependent Variables: An Application to Duration Models for Unemployment Spells," Annales d'Economie et de Statistique, ADRES, issue 55-56, pages 10, Juillet-D. [Downloadable!]
  3. Cadot, Olivier & Estevadeordal, Antoni & Suwa Eisenmann, Akiko, 2005. "Rules of Origin as Export Subsidies," CEPR Discussion Papers 4999, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-1.


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