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Seeking votes - the political economy of expenditures by the Peruvian Social Fund (FONCODES), 1991-95

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Author Info
Schady, Norbert R.

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Abstract

President Alberto Fujimori created the Peruvian social Fund (FONCODES) in 1991 with the stated objectives of generating employment, helping to alleviate poverty, and improving access to social services. The author uses province-level data on monthly expenditures, socio-economic indicators, and electoral outcomes to analyze political influences on the timing and geographic distribution of FONCODES expenditures between 1991 and 1995. He finds that: 1) FONCODES expenditures increased significantly before elections. 2) FONCODES projects were directed at poor provinces, as well as provinces in which the marginal political impact of expenditures was likely to be greatest. The results are robust to many specifications and controls. The Peruvian data thus support predictions made in the literature on political business cycle as well the literature on political influences on the allocation of discretionary funds.

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Paper provided by The World Bank in its series Policy Research Working Paper Series with number 2166.

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Date of creation: 31 Aug 1999
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Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:2166

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Keywords: Decentralization Environmental Economics&Policies Parliamentary Government Health Economics&Finance Election Systems Health Economics&Finance Environmental Economics&Policies Parliamentary Government Election Systems Business in Development

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Schuknecht, Ludger, 1996. "Political Business Cycles and Fiscal Policies in Developing Countries," Kyklos, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(2), pages 155-70.
  2. Rudiger Dornbusch & Sebastian Edwards, 1991. "Macroeconomic Populism in Latin America," NBER Working Papers 2986, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Anne Case, 1997. "Election Goals and Income Redistribution: Recent Evidence From Albania," Working Papers 227, Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Research Program in Development Studies.. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Peltzman, Sam, 1990. "How Efficient Is the Voting Market?," Journal of Law & Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 33(1), pages 27-63, April.
    Other versions:
  5. Deacon, Robert T & Shapiro, Perry, 1975. "Private Preference for Collective Goods Revealed Through Voting on Referenda," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 65(5), pages 943-55, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Dixit, Avinash K & Londregan, John, 1994. "The Determinants of Success of Special Interests in Redistributive Politics," CEPR Discussion Papers 1054, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Stuart Landon & David L. Ryan, 1997. "The Political Costs of Taxes and Government Spending," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 30(1), pages 85-111, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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