Option value and optimal rotation policies for aquaculture exploitations
AbstractEvaluating an aquaculture exploitation is extremely difficult because of the high level of uncertainty regarding both the farmed resource and output prices. That is why option pricing methodology may be preferable to traditional discounted methods, that cannot properly capture the management flexibility of the exploitation. This paper presents several models, based on Real Option theory, sufficient for determining not only the value of an aquaculture exploitation under management flexibility but also, the optimal rotation policy. Moreover, the paper turns to calculate the risk of an aquaculture exploitation by using the Value at Risk (VaR) methodology. To illustrate the nature of the solutions, a case based on the ”mussel” sector in Galicia (Spain) is considered. Given the obtained value of the risk is higher than the option value itself, the mussel sector appears to be a risky sector.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Universidade de Vigo, Departamento de Economía Aplicada in its series Working Papers with number 0304.
Length: 27 pages
Date of creation: Mar 2003
Date of revision:
Real Options; Value at Risk (VaR); Aquaculture Exploitations.;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
- Q22 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Fishery
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Thomas A. Thomson, 1992. "Optimal Forest Rotation When Stumpage Prices Follow a Diffusion Process," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 68(3), pages 329-342.
- Slade, Margaret E., 2001. "Valuing Managerial Flexibility: An Application of Real-Option Theory to Mining Investments," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 41(2), pages 193-233, March.
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