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Performance Limits for Estimators of the Risk or Distribution of Shrinkage-Type Estimators, and Some General Lower Risk-Bound Results

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We consider the problem of estimating measures of precision of shrinkage-type estimators like their risk or distribution. The notion of shrinkage-type estimators here refers to estimators like the James-Stein estimator or Lasso-type estimators, as well as to "thresholding" estimators such as, e. g., Hodges´so-called superefficient estimator. While the precision measures of such estimators typically can be estimated consistently, we show that they cannot be estimated uniformly consistently (even locally). This follows as a corollary to (locally) uniform lower bounds on the performance of estimators of the precision measures that we obtein in the paper. These lower bounds are typically quite large (e. g., they approach 1/2 or 1 depending on the situation considered). The analysis is based on some general lower risk bounds and related general results on the (non)existence of uniformly consistent estimators also obtained in the paper

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Paper provided by University of Vienna, Department of Economics in its series Vienna Economics Papers with number 0301.

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Date of creation: Jan 2003
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Handle: RePEc:vie:viennp:0301

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Web page: http://www.univie.ac.at/vwl

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Cited by:
  1. Pötscher, Benedikt M., 2006. "The Distribution of Model Averaging Estimators and an Impossibility Result Regarding Its Estimation," MPRA Paper 73, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jul 2006.
  2. Leeb, Hannes & Potscher, Benedikt M., 2008. "Sparse estimators and the oracle property, or the return of Hodges' estimator," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 142(1), pages 201-211, January.
  3. Pötscher, Benedikt M. & Leeb, Hannes, 2007. "On the distribution of penalized maximum likelihood estimators: The LASSO, SCAD, and thresholding," MPRA Paper 5615, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  4. Christian T. Brownlees & Giampiero Gallo, 2008. "Comparison of Volatility Measures: a Risk Management Perspective," Econometrics Working Papers Archive wp2008_03, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti".

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