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Modelling Volatility Spillover Effects Between Developed Stock Markets and Asian Emerging Stock Markets

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Abstract

This paper examines the linkages of stock markets across the U.S., Japan and six Asian developing countries: China, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines and Thailand over the period January 1, 1993 to December 31, 2012. The volatility spillover is modeled through an asymmetric multivariate GARCH model. We find significant unidirectional shock and volatility spillovers from the U.S. market to both the Japanese and the Asian emerging markets. It is also found that the volatility spillovers between the U.S. market and the Asian markets are stronger and bidirectional during the Asian financial crisis. Further, during the last five years, the linkages between the Japanese market and the Asian emerging markets became more apparent. Our paper contributes to the literature by examining both the long run and the short run periods and focusing on shock and volatility spillovers rather than return spillovers, which have been the primary focus of most other studies.

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Paper provided by Department of Economics, University of Victoria in its series Econometrics Working Papers with number 1301.

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Length: 40 pages
Date of creation: 08 Oct 2013
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:vic:vicewp:1301

Note: ISSN 1485-6441
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Keywords: Volatility; Spillovers; Stock markets; Multivariate GARCH; Asymmetric BEKK model;

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