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Has Inflation Targeting Improved Monetary Policy? Evaluating Policy Effectiveness in Australia, Canada, and New Zealand

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Author Info
Pierre L. Siklos () (Department of Economics, Wilfrid Laurier University and Viessman Research Centre)
Diana N. Weymark () (Department of Economics, Vanderbilt University)

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Abstract

The degree to which explicit inflation targets contribute to the success of price stabilization policies has not been conclusively established. To assess the impact of announced inflation targets on the effectiveness of monetary policy, we construct indicators of inflation pressure that allow us to characterize the impact and effectiveness of monetary policy quantitatively. We examine the records of three inflation targeting economies, Australia, Canada, and New Zealand, and compare them to the US. We find that the inflation targeting countries have substantially lower inflation pressure and that inflation targeting reduces the size of interest rate changes needed to moderate inflation.

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File URL: http://www.vanderbilt.edu/Econ/wparchive/workpaper/vu09-w06.pdf
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File Function: First version, 2009
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Department of Economics, Vanderbilt University in its series Working Papers with number 0906.

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Date of creation: Apr 2009
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Handle: RePEc:van:wpaper:0906

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Related research
Keywords: Inflation targeting; monetary policy; inflation pressure; stabilization policy;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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  1. Clarida, Richard H, 2001. "The Empirics of Monetary Policy Rules in Open Economies," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 6(4), pages 315-23, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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    Other versions:
  3. Richard Clarida & Jordi Gali & Mark Gertler, 1999. "The Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 37(4), pages 1661-1707, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  4. Marco Vega & Diego Winkelried, 2005. "Inflation Targeting and Inflation Behavior: A Successful Story?," Macroeconomics 0502026, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. O'Reilly,Gerard & Whelan, Karl, 2004. "Has Euro-Area Inflation Persistence Changed Over Time?," Research Technical Papers 4/RT/04, Central Bank & Financial Services Authority of Ireland (CBFSAI). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. Andrew Levin & Volker Wieland & John C. Williams, 1998. "Robustness of Simple Monetary Policy Rules under Model Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 6570, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Frederic S. Mishkin, 2006. "Monetary Policy Strategy: How Did We Get Here?," NBER Working Papers 12515, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Athanasios Orphanides & John C. Williams, 2002. "Robust monetary policy rules with unknown natural rates," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory 2003-01, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. [Downloadable!]
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  9. Johnson, David R., 2002. "The effect of inflation targeting on the behavior of expected inflation: evidence from an 11 country panel," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(8), pages 1521-1538, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  14. Goodfriend, Marvin, 1991. "Interest rates and the conduct of monetary policy," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 7-30, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  15. Rose, Andrew K., 2007. "A stable international monetary system emerges: Inflation targeting is Bretton Woods, reversed," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(5), pages 663-681, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  16. Christina D. Romer and David H. Romer., 1989. "Does Monetary Policy Matter? A New Test in the Spirit of Friedman and Schwartz," Economics Working Papers 89-107, University of California at Berkeley.
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  17. Lin, Shu & Ye, Haichun, 2007. "Does inflation targeting really make a difference? Evaluating the treatment effect of inflation targeting in seven industrial countries," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(8), pages 2521-2533, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  18. Richard Clarida, 2001. "The Empirics of Monetary Policy Rules in Open Economies," NBER Working Papers 8603, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  19. David Johnson, 2003. "The Effect of Inflation Targets on the Level of Expected Inflation in Five Countries," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 85(4), pages 1076-1081, 07. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  20. Luca Benati, 2008. "Investigating inflation persistence across monetary regimes," Working Paper Series 851, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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