IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/uza/wpaper/22607.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The causal relationship between financial development and investment in Botswana

Author

Listed:
  • Muyambiri, Brian
  • Odhiambo, Nicholas M

Abstract

In this paper, we examine the causal relationship between financial development and investment in Botswana between 1976 and 2014, using the autoregressive distributed-lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach. Unlike some previous studies, our study divides financial sector development into two segments, namely bank-based and market-based financial development. We also employ a trivariate Granger-causality model in order to address the omission-of-variable bias associated with a bivariate causality model. In order to capture the breadth and depth of the financial sector in the study country, we employ both bank- and market-based financial development indices. These indices are constructed from an array of bank- and market-based financial development indicators. Our results show that there is a bidirectional Granger-causal relationship between both bank-based and market-based financial development and investment in the short run. However, in the long run, a distinct causal flow is found to prevail only from investment to bank-based financial development.

Suggested Citation

  • Muyambiri, Brian & Odhiambo, Nicholas M, 2017. "The causal relationship between financial development and investment in Botswana," Working Papers 22607, University of South Africa, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:uza:wpaper:22607
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://uir.unisa.ac.za/bitstream/handle/10500/22607/The%20casual%20relationship%20between%20financial%20development%20and%20investment%20in%20Botswana.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ross Levine, 1997. "Financial Development and Economic Growth: Views and Agenda," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 35(2), pages 688-726, June.
    2. Marques, Luís Miguel & Fuinhas, José Alberto & Marques, António Cardoso, 2013. "Does the stock market cause economic growth? Portuguese evidence of economic regime change," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 316-324.
    3. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Peter Howells & Alaa M. Soliman, 2005. "Endogenous Growth Models and Stock Market Development: Evidence from Four Countries," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(2), pages 166-176, May.
    4. Shan, Jordan Z & Morris, Alan G & Sun, Fiona, 2001. "Financial Development and Economic Growth: An Egg-and-Chicken Problem?," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(3), pages 443-454, August.
    5. Levine, Ross, 2005. "Finance and Growth: Theory and Evidence," Handbook of Economic Growth, in: Philippe Aghion & Steven Durlauf (ed.), Handbook of Economic Growth, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 12, pages 865-934, Elsevier.
    6. Rousseau, Peter L., 1999. "Finance, investment, and growth in Meiji-era Japan," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 11(2), pages 185-198, April.
    7. Jordan Shan & Jianhong Qi, 2006. "Does Financial Development 'Lead' Economic Growth? The Case of China," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 7(1), pages 197-216, May.
    8. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    9. J. Shan & A. Morris & F. Sun, 1999. "Financial development and economic growth: An egg-and-chicken problem?," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 5(4), pages 514-514, November.
    10. Helmi Hamdi & Rashid Sbia & Hakimi Abdelaziz & Wafa Khlaifia hakimi, 2013. "Multivariate Granger causality between foreign direct investment and economic growth in Tunisia," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(2), pages 1193-1203.
    11. World Bank, 2016. "World Development Indicators 2016," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 23969, December.
    12. Thorsten Beck & Asli Demirgüç-Kunt & Ross Levine, 2010. "Financial Institutions and Markets across Countries and over Time: The Updated Financial Development and Structure Database," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 24(1), pages 77-92, January.
    13. Yongfu Huang, 2011. "Private investment and financial development in a globalized world," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 41(1), pages 43-56, August.
    14. Jordan Shan & Alan Morris, 2002. "Does Financial Development 'Lead' Economic Growth?," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(2), pages 153-168.
    15. Perron, Pierre, 1997. "Further evidence on breaking trend functions in macroeconomic variables," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 80(2), pages 355-385, October.
    16. Xun Lu & Dietrich Fausten & Russell Smyth, 2007. "Financial Development, Capital Accumulation and Productivity Improvement: Evidence from China," Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(3), pages 227-242.
    17. Simplice A, Asongu, 2012. "Linkages between investment flows and financial development: causality evidence from selected African countries," MPRA Paper 38719, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Yongfu Huang, 2011. "Private Investment and Financial Development," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Determinants of Financial Development, chapter 3, pages 64-100, Palgrave Macmillan.
    19. Thorsten Beck & Asli Demirgüç-Kunt & Ross Levine, 2000. "A New Database on the Structure and Development of the Financial Sector," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 14(3), pages 597-605, September.
    20. Xu, Zhenhui, 2000. "Financial Development, Investment, and Economic Growth," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 38(2), pages 331-344, April.
    21. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Peter G. A Howells & Alaa M. Soliman, 2004. "Stock Market Development And Economic Growth: The Causal Linkage," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 29(1), pages 33-50, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Muyambiri Brian & Odhiambo Nicholas M., 2018. "Financial Development and Investment in Botswana: A Multivariate Causality Test," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 18(2), pages 72-89, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Muyambiri Brian & Odhiambo Nicholas M., 2018. "Financial Development and Investment in Botswana: A Multivariate Causality Test," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 18(2), pages 72-89, December.
    2. Muyambiri Brian & Odhiambo Nicholas, 2017. "Financial Development, Savings and Investment in South Africa: A Dynamic Causality Test," Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 17(3), pages 1-10, September.
    3. Brian Muyambiri & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2018. "Financial Development and Investment Dynamics in Mauritius: A Trivariate Granger-Causality Analysis," SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, University of Piraeus, vol. 68(2-3), pages 62-73, April-Sep.
    4. Sin-Yu Ho & N.M. Odhiambo, 2018. "Analysing the macroeconomic drivers of stock market development in the Philippines," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(1), pages 1451265-145, January.
    5. Md. Qamruzzaman & Jianguo Wei, 2018. "Financial Innovation, Stock Market Development, and Economic Growth: An Application of ARDL Model," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-30, August.
    6. Nyasha, Sheilla & Odhiambo, Nicholas M., 2016. "Financial intermediaries, capital markets, and economic growth: empirical evidence from six countries," Working Papers 19908, University of South Africa, Department of Economics.
    7. Nyasha, Sheilla & Gwenhure, Yvonne & Odhiambo, Nicholas M., 2017. "The Dynamic Causal Linkage Between Financial Development And Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence From Ethiopia," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 70(1), pages 73-102.
    8. Okuyan Hasan Aydın, 2022. "The Nexus of Financial Development and Economic Growth Across Developing Economies," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 17(1), pages 125-140, June.
    9. Mehmet Balcilar & Serhan Çiftçioğlu & Hasan Güngör, 2016. "The Effects Of Financial Development On Investment In Turkey," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 61(04), pages 1-21, September.
    10. Sin-Yu Ho & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2019. "The macroeconomic drivers of stock market development: evidence from Hong Kong," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 12(2), pages 185-207, July.
    11. Ho, Sin-Yu, 2017. "The Macroeconomic Determinants of Stock Market Development: Evidence from Malaysia," MPRA Paper 77232, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. António Afonso & M. Carmen Blanco-Arana, 2018. "Financial Development and Economic Growth: A Study for OECD Countries in the Context of Crisis," Working Papers REM 2018/46, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    13. Nicholas M. Odhiambo & Sheilla Nyasha, 2022. "Financial Development and Economic Growth in Uganda: A Multivariate Causal Linkage," Journal of African Business, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(2), pages 361-379, April.
    14. Rosa Capolupo, 2018. "Finance, Investment and Growth: Evidence for Italy," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 47(1), pages 145-186, February.
    15. Sin-Yu Ho, 2019. "The macroeconomic determinants of stock market development in Malaysia: an empirical analysis," Global Business and Economics Review, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 21(2), pages 174-193.
    16. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-485 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Muhammad Shahbaz & Ijaz Ur Rehman & Ahmed Taneem Muzaffar, 2015. "Re-Visiting Financial Development and Economic Growth Nexus: The Role of Capitalization in Bangladesh," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 83(3), pages 452-471, September.
    18. Sin-Yu Ho & Bernard Njindan Iyke, 2017. "Determinants of stock market development: a review of the literature," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 34(1), pages 143-164, March.
    19. Nyasha Sheilla & Odhiambo Nicholas M., 2017. "Bank Versus Stock Market Development in Brazil: An ARDL Bounds Testing Approach," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 12(1), pages 7-21, April.
    20. Ying Ma & Abdul Jalil, 2008. "Financial Development, Economic Growth and Adaptive Efficiency: A Comparison between China and Pakistan," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 16(6), pages 97-111, November.
    21. Can ERBIL & Durmus OZDEMIR, 2008. "Does Financial Liberalization Trigger Long-Run Economic Growth?," EcoMod2008 23800033, EcoMod.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Botswana; Investment; Bank-Based Financial Development; Market-Based Financial Development;
    All these keywords.

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:uza:wpaper:22607. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Shaun Donovan (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/deusaza.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.