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Unbiased covariance estimation with interpolated data

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  • Taro Kanatani

    ()

  • Roberto Reno'

    ()

Abstract

We study covariance estimation when compelled to use evenly spaced data which have already been manipulated by previous-tick interpolation. We propose an un- biased covariance estimator, which is designed to correct for the two biases arising because of the interpolation: non-synchronous trading and zero-return bias. We show how these sources make usual realized covariance estimators biased, and that the traditional lead-lag modification does not correct these biases completely. The proposed estimator is also proved to be consistent with the Hayashi and Yoshida (2005)’s unbiased estimator under extremely high frequency situation. We illustrate the potential advantages of the method with both simulated and actual data

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Paper provided by Department of Economics, University of Siena in its series Department of Economics University of Siena with number 502.

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Date of creation: Apr 2007
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Handle: RePEc:usi:wpaper:502

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Keywords: Realized covariance; Previous tick interpolation; Epps effect; Nonsynchronous trading; Bias-correction;

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  1. Lo, Andrew W. & Craig MacKinlay, A., 1990. "An econometric analysis of nonsynchronous trading," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 45(1-2), pages 181-211.
  2. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Paul Labys, 2003. "Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(2), pages 579-625, March.
  3. Cohen, Kalman J. & Hawawini, Gabriel A. & Maier, Steven F. & Schwartz, Robert A. & Whitcomb, David K., 1983. "Friction in the trading process and the estimation of systematic risk," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 263-278, August.
  4. Griffin, Jim E. & Oomen, Roel C.A., 2011. "Covariance measurement in the presence of non-synchronous trading and market microstructure noise," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 160(1), pages 58-68, January.
  5. Andersen T. G & Bollerslev T. & Diebold F. X & Labys P., 2001. "The Distribution of Realized Exchange Rate Volatility," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 96, pages 42-55, March.
  6. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2004. "Econometric Analysis of Realized Covariation: High Frequency Based Covariance, Regression, and Correlation in Financial Economics," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 72(3), pages 885-925, 05.
  7. Scholes, Myron & Williams, Joseph, 1977. "Estimating betas from nonsynchronous data," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(3), pages 309-327, December.
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Cited by:
  1. Taro Kanatani, 2007. "Finite Sample Analysis of Weighted Realized Covariance with Noisy Asynchronous Observations," KIER Working Papers 634, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.

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