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The Avian Flu Disease: A Case of Precautionary Failure

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Author Info
Marcello Basili ()
Mauriziop Franzini ()

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Abstract

The Precautionary Principle has been proposed as the proper behaviour to adopt in the face of the new catastrophic risks that have made their appearance in the last decades. We advance a workable definition of the Precautionary Principle and apply it to the possible outbreak among humans of the avian flu disease. We make use of a Principle-Agent model and show in which sense such outbreak can be considered a “Precautionary failure”.

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Paper provided by Department of Economics, University of Siena in its series Department of Economics University of Siena with number 454.

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Date of creation: Jul 2005
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Handle: RePEc:usi:wpaper:454

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Related research
Keywords: ambiguity; avian flu; precautionary principle; multiple priors;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
K32 - Law and Economics - - Other Substantive Areas of Law - - - Environmental, Health, and Safety Law

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  1. Timothy O'Riordan & Andrew Jordan, 1995. "The Precautionary Principle in Contemporary Environmental Politics," Environmental Values, White Horse Press, vol. 4(3), pages 191-212, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Hart, Oliver & Moore, John, 1999. "Foundations of Incomplete Contracts," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 66(1), pages 115-38, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Gollier, Christian & Treich, Nicolas, 2003. " Decision-Making under Scientific Uncertainty: The Economics of the Precautionary Principle," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 27(1), pages 77-103, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Basili, Marcello, 1998. "Quasi-option value and hard uncertainty," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 3(04), pages 417-423, October. [Downloadable!]
  5. Grossman, Sanford J & Hart, Oliver D, 1983. "An Analysis of the Principal-Agent Problem," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 51(1), pages 7-45, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  6. Hart, Oliver D & Moore, John, 1988. "Incomplete Contracts and Renegotiation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 56(4), pages 755-85, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  7. Claude Henry & Marc Henry, 2002. "Formalization and applications of the Precautionary Principle," Working Papers hal-00243001_v1, HAL. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  8. Ghirardato, Paolo & Maccheroni, Fabio & Marinacci, Massimo, 2004. "Differentiating ambiguity and ambiguity attitude," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 118(2), pages 133-173, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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