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The Social Value of Job Loss and Its Effect on the Costs of U.S. Environmental Regulations

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Abstract

Job loss is typically not valued in benefit–cost analyses of environmental regulations. But empirical evidence suggests that involuntary job loss results in large social costs, particularly when local unemployment is high. This article presents estimates of the social costs of job loss in the United States, based on estimates of how local labor markets respond to job changes. These estimated social costs have a present value per job lost in the hundreds of thousands of dollars. However, these social costs are far less than the earnings associated with the lost jobs, because of labor market adjustments as well as some offsets from the value of increased non-work time. An examination of major U.S. environmental regulations suggests that job losses will usually add only modestly to overall regulatory costs. However, if the magnitude of a regulation’s benefits and costs are close in monetary terms, then accounting for job loss could tip the regulatory decision. It is also important for regulatory analyses to examine the potential magnitude of gross job loss, particularly in high unemployment areas.
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  • Timothy J. Bartik, "undated". "The Social Value of Job Loss and Its Effect on the Costs of U.S. Environmental Regulations," Upjohn Working Papers tjb15, W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research.
  • Handle: RePEc:upj:weupjo:tjb15
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    1. Haveman Robert H. & Farrow Scott, 2011. "Labor Expenditures and Benefit-Cost Accounting in Times of Unemployment," Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis, De Gruyter, vol. 2(2), pages 1-9, April.
    2. Timothy J. Bartik, 1991. "Who Benefits from State and Local Economic Development Policies?," Books from Upjohn Press, W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research, number wbsle, August.
    3. Timothy J. Bartik, 2015. "How Effects of Local Labor Demand Shocks Vary with the Initial Local Unemployment Rate," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(4), pages 529-557, December.
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    5. Richard Rogerson, 2015. "A Macroeconomic Perspective on Evaluating Environmental Regulations," Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 9(2), pages 219-238.
    6. Nicolai V. Kuminoff & Todd Schoellman & Christopher Timmins, 2015. "Environmental Regulations and the Welfare Effects of Job Layoffs in the United States: A Spatial Approach," Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 9(2), pages 198-218.
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    Cited by:

    1. Costantini, Valeria & Crespi, Francesco & Paglialunga, Elena, 2018. "The employment impact of private and public actions for energy efficiency: Evidence from European industries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 250-267.
    2. Brouillat, Eric & Saint Jean, Maïder, 2020. "Mind the gap: Investigating the impact of implementation gaps on cleaner technology transition," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    3. Nicolai V. Kuminoff & Todd Schoellman & Christopher Timmins, 2015. "Environmental Regulations and the Welfare Effects of Job Layoffs in the United States: A Spatial Approach," Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 9(2), pages 198-218.
    4. Garth Heutel & Xin Zhang, 2020. "Efficiency Wages, Unemployment, and Environmental Policy," NBER Working Papers 27960, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Luigi Aldieri & Concetto Paolo Vinci, 2018. "Green Economy and Sustainable Development: The Economic Impact of Innovation on Employment," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-11, October.
    6. Eric Brouillat & Maïder Saint-Jean, 2019. "Dura lex sed lex: why implementation gaps in environmental policy matter?," Cahiers du GREThA (2007-2019) 2019-04, Groupe de Recherche en Economie Théorique et Appliquée (GREThA).
    7. Heutel, Garth & Zhang, Xin, 2021. "Efficiency wages, unemployment, and environmental policy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    8. Eric Brouillat & Maïder Saint Jean, 2020. "Mind the gap: Investigating the impact of implementation gaps on cleaner technology transition," Post-Print hal-03490256, HAL.
    9. V. Kerry Smith, 2015. "Should Benefit–Cost Methods Take Account of High Unemployment? Symposium Introduction," Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 9(2), pages 165-178.
    10. Richard Rogerson, 2015. "A Macroeconomic Perspective on Evaluating Environmental Regulations," Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 9(2), pages 219-238.
    11. Aldieri, Luigi & Grafström, Jonas & Paolo Vinci, Concetto, 2020. "Job Creation in the Wind Power Sector Through Marshallian and Jacobian Knowledge Spillovers," Ratio Working Papers 340, The Ratio Institute.
    12. Luigi Aldieri & Jonas Grafström & Concetto Paolo Vinci, 2021. "The Effect of Marshallian and Jacobian Knowledge Spillovers on Jobs in the Solar, Wind and Energy Efficiency Sector," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-16, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    benefit-cost analysis; worker displacement; environmental regulation; social cost of labor;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D61 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics - - - Allocative Efficiency; Cost-Benefit Analysis
    • Q52 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Pollution Control Adoption and Costs; Distributional Effects; Employment Effects
    • J68 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Public Policy

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