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Finite Mixture Analysis of Beauty-Contest Data from Multiple Samples

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Author Info
Antoni Bosch-Domènech ()
José Garcia Montalvo ()
Rosemarie Nagel ()
Albert Satorra ()

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Abstract

This paper develops a finite mixture distribution analysis of Beauty-Contest data obtained from diverse groups of experiments.ML estimation using the EM approach provides estimates for the means and variances of the component distributions,which are common to all the groups,and estimates of the mixing proportions,which are specific to each group.This estimation is performed without imposing constraints on the parameters of the composing distributions.The statistical analysis indicates that many individuals follow a common pattern of reasoning described as iterated best reply (degenerate),and shows that the proportions of people thinking at different levels of depth vary across groups.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra in its series Economics Working Papers with number 737.

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Date of creation: Jan 2004
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Handle: RePEc:upf:upfgen:737

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Web page: http://www.econ.upf.edu/

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Related research
Keywords: Keywords: Beauty-Contest experiments; reasoning hierarchy; finite mixture distribution; EM algorithm; Leex;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C24 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Truncated and Censored Models
C44 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Statistical Decision Theory; Operations Research
C91 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - Laboratory, Individual Behavior

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Hamparsum Bozdogan, 1987. "Model selection and Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC): The general theory and its analytical extensions," Psychometrika, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 345-370, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Nagel, Rosemarie, 1995. "Unraveling in Guessing Games: An Experimental Study," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 85(5), pages 1313-26, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Peter Arcidiacono & John Bailey Jones, 2003. "Finite Mixture Distributions, Sequential Likelihood and the EM Algorithm," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(3), pages 933-946, 05. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Wengström, Erik, 2007. "Setting the Anchor: Price Competition, Level-n Theory and Communication," Working Papers 2007:6, Lund University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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