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Volatility Transmission between Exchange Rates and Stock Prices in Indonesia post 1997 Asia Crisis

Author

Listed:
  • Anhar Fauzan Priyono

    (Department of Economics, Padjadjaran University)

  • Arief Bustaman

    (Department of Economics, Padjadjaran University)

Abstract

Volatility of Indonesia Rupiah and Jakarta Composite Index remain one of main issues in Indonesia economy after 1997 Asian crisis. The objectives of this research are (1) determining the volatility of Indonesia Rupiah to US Dollar exchange rates and Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) and (2) analysing the dynamic volatility transmission between exchange rates and JCI. Exchange rate and JCI volatility were measured using GJR-GARCH approach. Estimated using VAR model, this study found that current volatility of exchange rate (ER) respond significantly to the change of volatility of Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) in the previous month. On the other hand, change in previous exchange rate volatility did not affect current JCI volatility.

Suggested Citation

  • Anhar Fauzan Priyono & Arief Bustaman, 2014. "Volatility Transmission between Exchange Rates and Stock Prices in Indonesia post 1997 Asia Crisis," Working Papers in Economics and Development Studies (WoPEDS) 201404, Department of Economics, Padjadjaran University, revised Feb 2014.
    • Handle: RePEc:unp:wpaper:201404
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    File URL: http://ceds.feb.unpad.ac.id/wopeds/201404.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    2. Dornbusch, Rudiger & Fischer, Stanley, 1980. "Exchange Rates and the Current Account," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(5), pages 960-971, December.
    3. WenShwo Fang & Stephen M. Miller, 2002. "Currency Depreciation and Korean Stock Market Performance during the Asian Financial Crisis," Working papers 2002-30, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    4. Sheng-Yung Yang & Shuh-Chyi Doong, 2004. "Price and Volatility Spillovers between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates: Empirical Evidence from the G-7 Countries," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 3(2), pages 139-153, August.
    5. Baharom, A.H. & Habibullah, M.S. & R.C., Royfaizal, 2008. "Pre and post crisis analysis of stock price and exchange rate: Evidence from Malaysia," MPRA Paper 12445, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Manish Kumar, 2009. "A Bivariate Linear and Nonlinear Causality between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 29(4), pages 2884-2895.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Indonesia financial market; volatility; GJR-GARCH; VAR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G0 - Financial Economics - - General

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