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Long Waves: Conceptual, Empirical and Modelling Issues

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  • Silverberg, Gerald

    (MERIT)

Abstract

The theory of long waves is exceptionally fortunate in that, while there is no general consensus that they exist or, assuming that they do, what an appropriate theory should be, due to the unstinting efforts of several researchers, we have encyclopaedic compendia of the literature (Freeman 1996, Reijnders and Louçã 1999) and a recent valiant attempt to write modern economic history from a long-wave perspective (Freeman and Louçã 2001). The purpose of this entry is to succinctly review the controversy about what long waves might mean as a phenomenon, how they might be measured and modelled, and where they might fit into an overarching theory of economic dynamics and evolution.

Suggested Citation

  • Silverberg, Gerald, 2003. "Long Waves: Conceptual, Empirical and Modelling Issues," Research Memorandum 015, Maastricht University, Maastricht Economic Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
    • Handle: RePEc:unm:umamer:2003015
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Mark Knell & Simone Vannuccini, 2022. "Tools and concepts for understanding disruptive technological change after Schumpeter," Jena Economics Research Papers 2022-005, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
    3. Konstantakis, Konstantinos N. & Michaelides, Panayotis G., 2017. "Does technology cause business cycles in the USA? A Schumpeter-inspired approach," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 15-26, December.
    4. Robert Guttmann, 2015. "The heterodox notion of structural crisis," Review of Keynesian Economics, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 3(2), pages 194-212, April.
    5. Uwe Cantner & Simone Vannuccini, 2012. "A New View of General Purpose Technologies," Jena Economics Research Papers 2012-054, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
    6. Dosi, G. & Pereira, M.C. & Roventini, A. & Virgillito, M.E., 2022. "Technological paradigms, labour creation and destruction in a multi-sector agent-based model," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(10).
    7. Mauro Lombardi & Simone Vannuccini, 2021. "A paradigm shift for decision-making in an era of deep and extended changes," SPRU Working Paper Series 2021-05, SPRU - Science Policy Research Unit, University of Sussex Business School.
    8. Silverberg, Gerald, 2005. "When is a Wave a Wave? Long Waves as Empirical and Theoretical Constructs from a Complex Systems Perspective," Research Memorandum 014, Maastricht University, Maastricht Economic Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
    9. Sun Hi Yoo & DongKyu Won, 2018. "Simulation of Weak Signals of Nanotechnology Innovation in Complex System," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-14, February.
    10. Fusari, Angelo & Reati, Angelo, 2013. "Endogenizing technical change: Uncertainty, profits, entrepreneurship. A long-term view of sectoral dynamics," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 76-100.
    11. Iancu, Aurel, 2014. "Financial Instability, Cycles and the Role of Institutions," Working Papers of National Institute for Economic Research 141007, Institutul National de Cercetari Economice (INCE).
    12. Cantner, Uwe & Vannuccini, Simone, 2021. "Pervasive technologies and industrial linkages: Modeling acquired purposes," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 386-399.

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