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Developing Country Exports of Manufactures: Moving Up the Ladder to Escape the Fallacy of Composition?

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Author Info
Arslan Razmi () (University of Massachusetts Amherst)
Robert Blecker (American University)

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Abstract

The possible existence of a "fallacy of composition" in the simultaneous pursuit of export-led growth by developing countries has received relatively little attention in economic literature. This lack of attention becomes even more apparent in the domain of empirical studies of manufactured exports. This essay seeks to fill this gap. It develops a data set consisting of 10 industrial and 18 developing countries. Carefully designed relative price indices are constructed to capture price and quantity determinants of industrialized country demand for developing country exports. Export equations are then estimated for individual countries. The estimated coe±cients suggest that most developing countries that report significant price effects compete with other developing country exporters, and not with manufacturers in the industrial countries. The panel estimates provide further support in addition to indicating that differences in the nature of competition among developing countries and between developing and industrial countries underline the need to take into account these nuances of international competition. The overall results suggest major policy concerns for developing countries as they simultaneously attempt to export their way to growth through price- and wage-based competition. JEL Categories: F02, F14, F19

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Paper provided by University of Massachusetts Amherst, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 2005-02.

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Date of creation: Feb 2005
Date of revision: May 2006
Handle: RePEc:ums:papers:2005-02

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Keywords: Fallacy of composition; export-led growth; adding-up constraints; external demand; manufactured exports; intra-developing country competition; Bewley transformation; wage suppres- sion.;

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  3. Lall, Sanjaya & Albaladejo, Manuel, 2004. "China's Competitive Performance: A Threat to East Asian Manufactured Exports?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 32(9), pages 1441-1466, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Lall, Sanjaya, 1998. "Exports of Manufactures by Developing Countries: Emerging Patterns of Trade and Location," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press, vol. 14(2), pages 54-73, Summer.
  5. Hertel, Thomas W. & Terrie Walmsley, 2000. "China's Accession to the WTO: Timing is Everything," GTAP Working Papers 403, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Riedel, James, 1988. "The Demand for LDC Exports of Manufactures: Estimates from Hong Kong," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 98(389), pages 138-48, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Shigehisa Kasahara, 2004. "The Flying Geese Paradigm: A Critical Study Of Its Application To East Asian Regional Development," UNCTAD Discussion Papers 169, United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. [Downloadable!]
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  9. Davidson, Paul, 1972. "Money and the Real World," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 82(325), pages 101-15, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  12. Muscatelli, V. A. & Stevenson, A. A. & Montagna, C., 1994. "Intra-NIE competition in exports of manufactures," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(1-2), pages 29-47, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  14. Kaplinsky, Raphael, 1993. "Export Processing Zones in the Dominican Republic: Transforming manufactures into commodities," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 21(11), pages 1851-1865, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  20. Breusch, T S & Pagan, A R, 1980. "The Lagrange Multiplier Test and Its Applications to Model Specification in Econometrics," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(1), pages 239-53, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  24. Baltagi, Badi H. & Boozer, Michael A., 1997. "Econometric Analysis of Panel Data," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 13(05), pages 747-754, October. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. William Milberg, 2007. "Shifting Sources and Uses of Profits: Sustaining U.S. Financialization with Global Value Chains," SCEPA Working Papers 2007-9, Schwartz Center for Economic Policy Analysis (SCEPA), The New School. [Downloadable!]
  2. William Milberg, 2007. "Exporting Processing Zones, Industrial Upgrading and Economic Development: A Survey," SCEPA Working Papers 2007-10, Schwartz Center for Economic Policy Analysis (SCEPA), The New School. [Downloadable!]
  3. Rodrigo Zeidan & Marcelo Resende, 2009. "Measuring Market Conduct in the Brazilian Cement Industry: A Dynamic Econometric Investigation," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 231-244, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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