Mexico, Turkey, and Korea in the era of globalization. The author assesses the effects of globalization on the wage share, as measured by the effects of international trade and foreign direct investment (FDI) intensity of the economy. At the same time, the processes of globalization and opening up have been accompanied by major currency crises in most developing countries in the last decade—hence the author also examines the impact that exchange rate depreciation and economic recession have had on wage share.

The paper develops a Post- Keynesian conflicting claims model for an open economy under the pressure of globalization. An equation for the wage share is estimated for each country using the ‘seemingly unrelated regression’ method. The results show that both recessions and nominal depreciations have a clear and lasting negative effect on the manufacturing wage share in all countries, whereas the effect of openness, in particular international trade, depends on industrial policy structure. Increased export intensity leads to a decline the manufacturing wage share in Turkey and Mexico, but has no significant effect in Korea. The positive expectations from FDI also do not materialized in any of the three countries.

Ozlem Onaran is a PERI Research Scholar and Associate Professor at Vienna University of Economics and Business Administration.

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Wage Share, Globalization, and Crisis: The Case of the Manufacturing Industry in Korea, Mexico, and Turkey

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Özlem Onaran

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Abstract

This paper analyzes the changes in the wage share in manufacturing industry in Mexico, Turkey, and Korea in the era of globalization. The author assesses the effects of globalization on the wage share, as measured by the effects of international trade and foreign direct investment (FDI) intensity of the economy. At the same time, the processes of globalization and opening up have been accompanied by major currency crises in most developing countries in the last decade—hence the author also examines the impact that exchange rate depreciation and economic recession have had on wage share.

The paper develops a Post- Keynesian conflicting claims model for an open economy under the pressure of globalization. An equation for the wage share is estimated for each country using the ‘seemingly unrelated regression’ method. The results show that both recessions and nominal depreciations have a clear and lasting negative effect on the manufacturing wage share in all countries, whereas the effect of openness, in particular international trade, depends on industrial policy structure. Increased export intensity leads to a decline the manufacturing wage share in Turkey and Mexico, but has no significant effect in Korea. The positive expectations from FDI also do not materialized in any of the three countries.

Ozlem Onaran is a PERI Research Scholar and Associate Professor at Vienna University of Economics and Business Administration.

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Paper provided by Political Economy Research Institute, University of Massachusetts at Amherst in its series Working Papers with number wp132.

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Date of creation: 2007
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Keywords: labor’s share developing countries trade FDI crisis

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution
E25 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Aggregate Factor Income Distribution
O15 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
O19 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - International Linkages to Development; Role of International Organizations

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  1. Penelope Pacheco-López & A.P. Thirlwall, 2004. "Trade Liberalisation in Mexico: Rhetoric and Reality," Studies in Economics 0403, Department of Economics, University of Kent. [Downloadable!]
  2. Robert Pollin, 2002. "Globalization and the Transition to Egalitarian Development," Working Papers wp42, Political Economy Research Institute, University of Massachusetts at Amherst. [Downloadable!]
  3. David Dollar & Aart Kraay, 2004. "Trade, Growth, and Poverty," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 114(493), pages F22-F49, 02. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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