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Investment, growth and employment: VECM for Uruguay

Author

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  • Lucia Ramirez

    (Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y de Administración. Instituto de Economí­a)

  • Gabriela Mordecki

    (Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y de Administración. Instituto de Economí­a)

Abstract

Investment is a key to analyze an economy's growth, as its increase the economy productive capacity, either expanding the capital stock as incorporating new technology that makes the production process more efficient. In Uruguay, investment has substantially increased in recent years, both overall and sectoral. This would have occurred as a result of strong growth in the period, as well as government policies on investment promotion. Growth and investment evolution, together with employment, has undergone a long history in economic theory. In that sense, there are empirical studies that support the theory that investment precedes growth, while there are others that provide evidence to the hypothesis that growth determines investment. Through a model with vector error correction (VECM) we found a long-term relationship between GDP without primary activity, investment and urban workers of Uruguay. In this model we observe a positive relationship between GDP and the other two variables, where GDP precedes both urban workers and investment.

Suggested Citation

  • Lucia Ramirez & Gabriela Mordecki, 2014. "Investment, growth and employment: VECM for Uruguay," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 14-07, Instituto de Economía - IECON.
    • Handle: RePEc:ulr:wpaper:dt-07-14
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    File URL: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/4256
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Yin-Wong Cheung & Michael P. Dooley & Vladyslav Sushko, 2012. "Investment and Growth in Rich and Poor Countries," NBER Working Papers 17788, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    5. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
    6. Ibarra, David & Moreno Brid, Juan Carlos, 2004. "La inversión extranjera," Sede Subregional de la CEPAL en México (Estudios e Investigaciones) 25659, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
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    Cited by:

    1. Mohammad I. Elian & Nabeel Sawalha & Ahmed Bani-Mustafa, 2020. "Revisiting the FDI–Growth Nexus: ARDL Bound Test for BRICS Standalone Economies," Modern Applied Science, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 14(6), pages 1-1, June.
    2. Vodă Alina Daniela & Duguleană Liliana & Dobrotă Gabriela, 2019. "Investments, Economic Growth And Employment: Var Method For Romania," Studies in Business and Economics, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 14(2), pages 231-244, August.
    3. Meyer Daniel Francois & Sanusi Kaseem Abimbola, 2019. "A Causality Analysis of the Relationships Between Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Economic Growth and Employment in South Africa," Studia Universitatis Babeș-Bolyai Oeconomica, Sciendo, vol. 64(1), pages 33-44, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    investment; growth; employment; cointegration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • B23 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought since 1925 - - - Econometrics; Quantitative and Mathematical Studies
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies

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