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Economic Growth and Finance. A cointegration analysis in US and Japan

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Author Info
Giuseppina Testa ()
Abstract

This paper aims at investigating the relationship between financial and economic development for two countries: the US and Japan. A great deal of theoretical and empirical studies showed the existence of a close relation between the development of the financial sector and economic growth (Greenwood and Jovanovic, 1990, Bencivenga and Smith, 1991, King and Levine, 1993, Levine et al., 2000); nevertheless many concerns still remain: it is, for instance, unclear how the development of financial markets drives economic growth and, more relevant, whether it causes or is caused by economic growth. Moreover, previous empirical studies showed that time series and cross sectional approaches lead to different results. In this paper, the long-run relationship among finance and growth is investigated through the cointegration analysis (an estimation method developed over the last decade). The cointegration analysis can help to shed light on the aforementioned issues: it helps both to examine the interactions between the variables under consideration (real GDP per capita, private credit, investment share and inflation), taking into account the non stationarity of the data, and to capture the existence of potential cointegrating links between series (being explicit a priori about their form). With this regard, the aim of our analysis is twofold: 1) to investigate whether it is possible to find a stable relationship between financial development and real GDP per capita; 2) to investigate the possible channels of transmission from financial intermediation sector to economic growth.

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Paper provided by Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche, Matematiche e Statistiche, Universita' di Foggia in its series Quaderni DSEMS with number 22-2005.

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Date of creation: Nov 2005
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Handle: RePEc:ufg:qdsems:22-2005

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Related research
Keywords: Economic growth; finance; cointegration analysis;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
O16 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment
E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions

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  3. John Y. Campbell & Pierre Perron, 1991. "Pitfalls and Opportunities: What Macroeconomists Should Know About Unit Roots," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1991, Volume 6, pages 141-220 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Granger, C. W. J., 1981. "Some properties of time series data and their use in econometric model specification," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 121-130, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  13. Barro, Robert J. & Mankiw, N Gregory & Sala-i-Martin, Xavier, 1994. "Capital Mobility in Neoclassical Models of Growth," CEPR Discussion Papers 1019, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  14. Levine, Ross & Loayza, Norman & Beck, Thorsten, 2000. "Financial intermediation and growth: Causality and causes," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 31-77, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  15. De Gregorio, Jose & Guidotti, Pablo E., 1995. "Financial development and economic growth," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 433-448, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  16. Bencivenga, Valerie R & Smith, Bruce D, 1991. "Financial Intermediation and Endogenous Growth," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 58(2), pages 195-209, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  17. King, Robert G & Levine, Ross, 1993. "Finance and Growth: Schumpeter Might Be Right," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 108(3), pages 717-37, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  18. Greenwood, J. & Jovanovic, B., 1990. "Financial Development, Growth, And The Distribution Of Income," University of Western Ontario, The Centre for the Study of International Economic Relations Working Papers 9002, University of Western Ontario, The Centre for the Study of International Economic Relations.
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  19. De Gregorio, Jose, 1992. "Economic growth in Latin America," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 59-84, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  20. Fischer, Stanley, 1993. "The role of macroeconomic factors in growth," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 485-512, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  21. De Gregorio, Jose, 1993. "Inflation, taxation, and long-run growth," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 271-298, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  26. Lucas, Robert Jr., 1988. "On the mechanics of economic development," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 3-42, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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    Other versions:
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