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From Tranquility to Secession and Other Historical Sequences: A Theoretical Exposition

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Author Info
Paul Hallwood (University of Connecticut)

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Abstract

A model is developed explaining many common historical sequences: inter alia, the rise and fall of empires, expansion or contraction in the geographic size of nations, wars of secession, non-contested secessions, and growth of supra-national unions. The basic unit of analysis is a transaction in international (or national) law that verifies and legitimizes transformations from one organizational entity to another. Decision-makers for national, or super-national entities as well as those at sub-levels are assumed to be welfare maximizers under cost constraints. Potential secessionists face dispute costs, and decision-makers for the higher-level entity incur persuasion costs. Both costs may include military expenses. These transaction costs are shown to play a crucial role in determining the optimal number of independent countries in the world.

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File URL: http://www.econ.uconn.edu/working/2007-35.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Connecticut, Department of Economics in its series Working papers with number 2007-35.

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Length: 37 pages
Date of creation: Sep 2007
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:uct:uconnp:2007-35

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Related research
Keywords: autonomous regions; causes of war; civil war; clash of civilizations; collapse of empire; economic union; empire; end of history; federalism; human rights; international borders; secession; self determination; theory of history; transaction costs; unitary state; war of secession.;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
F5 - International Economics - - International Relations and International Political Economy
K33 - Law and Economics - - Other Substantive Areas of Law - - - International Law
N40 - Economic History - - Government, War, Law, and Regulation - - - General, International, or Comparative
P48 - Economic Systems - - Other Economic Systems - - - Other Economic Systems: Political Economy; Legal Institutions; Property Rights

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Grossman, Herschel I, 1999. "Kleptocracy and Revolutions," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 51(2), pages 267-83, April.
  2. N. H. Bingham, 2004. "Book reviews," Journal Of The Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 167(4), pages 761-762. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. N. H. Bingham, 2004. "Book reviews," Journal Of The Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 167(4), pages 767-768. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Paul Hallwood, 2008. "Minimizing the Price of Tranquility: How to Discourage Scotland's Secession from the United Kingdom," Working papers 2008-23, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-24.


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