How Decisive Is the Decisive Voter?
AbstractThis paper examines whether the voter with the median income is decisive in local spending decisions. Previous tests have relied on cross-sectional data while we make use of a pair of California referenda to estimate a first difference specification. The referenda proposed to lower the required vote share for passing local educational bonding initiatives from 67 to 50 percent and 67 to 55 percent, respectively. The jurisdiction median income appears to accurately capture the expected outcomes of majority votes on public service spending, and voters rationally consider such future public service decisions when deciding how to vote on voting rules
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by University of Connecticut, Department of Economics in its series Working papers with number 2007-28.
Length: 41 pages
Date of creation: Jul 2007
Date of revision: Aug 2008
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More information through EDIRC
Median Voter Hypothesis; Voting; Referenda; Preference Heterogeneity; Education Spending;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- H4 - Public Economics - - Publicly Provided Goods
- H7 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations
- I2 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2007-07-20 (All new papers)
- NEP-CDM-2007-07-20 (Collective Decision-Making)
- NEP-POL-2007-07-20 (Positive Political Economics)
- NEP-URE-2007-07-20 (Urban & Real Estate Economics)
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