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An Analysis of Unemployment Incidence and Duration: Some New Evidence from Canada

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  • Campolieti, Michele
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    Abstract

    This paper studies the incidence and duration of unemployment in Canada at an aggregate and a number of disaggregated levels with data from the Canadian Labour Force Survey covering 1976 to 2006. The principal empirical findings indicate that most of the changes in steady state unemployment rates during the study period can be attributed to changes in incidence rather than changes in expected duration.

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    File URL: http://www.clsrn.econ.ubc.ca/workingpapers/CLSRN%20Working%20Paper%20no.%207%20-%20Campolieti.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Vancouver School of Economics in its series CLSSRN working papers with number clsrn_admin-2009-14.

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    Length: 36 pages
    Date of creation: 02 Feb 2009
    Date of revision: 02 Feb 2009
    Handle: RePEc:ubc:clssrn:clsrn_admin-2009-14

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    Web page: http://www.clsrn.econ.ubc.ca/

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    Keywords: Education; Training; Youth; Labour Market Outcomes;

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    1. Abbring, Jaap H. & Berg, Gerard J. van den & Ours, Jan C. van, 1997. "Business cycles and compositional variation in U.S. unemployment," Serie Research Memoranda 0020, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.
    2. David Card & W. Craig Riddell, 1993. "A Comparative Analysis of Unemployment in Canada and the United States," NBER Chapters, in: Small Differences That Matter: Labor Markets and Income Maintenance in Canada and the United States, pages 149-190 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Michael Baker & Miles Corak & Andrew Heisz, 1998. "The Labour Market Dynamics of Unemployment Rates in Canada and the United States," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 24(s1), pages 72-89, February.
    4. Heisz, Andrew & Corak, Miles, 1995. "Alternative Measures of the Average Duration of Unemployment," Analytical Studies Branch Research Paper Series 1995083e, Statistics Canada, Analytical Studies Branch.
    5. Abbring, Jaap H & van den Berg, Gerard J & van Ours, Jan C, 1995. "The Anatomy of Unemployment Dynamics," CEPR Discussion Papers 1202, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    6. Baker, Michael, 1992. "Digit preference in CPS unemployment data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 117-121, May.
    7. Michele Campolieti, 2000. "Bayesian Estimation and Smoothing of the Baseline Hazard in Discrete Time Duration Models," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 82(4), pages 685-694, November.
    8. W. Craig Riddell, 2005. "Why Is Canada's Unemployment Rate Persistently Higher than in the United States?," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 31(1), pages 93-100, March.
    9. Miles Corak, 1996. "Measuring the Duration of Unemployment Spells," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 29(s1), pages 43-49, April.
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