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Estructura productiva, cambio técnico y empleo: Un análisis de prospectiva para la economía española

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  • Carlos Iglesias Fernández
  • Raquel Llorente Heras

Abstract

A partir del estudio de las modificaciones acaecidas en la estructura productiva española, de los procesos de cambio técnico en curso, y de las implicaciones de ambos hechos sobre la estructura sectorial del empleo, el trabajo realiza un análisis de prospectiva, horizonte 2003, respecto a cual puede ser la futura estructura productiva y los requerimientos de empleo que se derivarán de la misma, si se mantienen los cambios en curso. Para ello utilizan las Tablas Input-Output de la economía española de 1987 y 1995, así como los datos de la Encuesta de Población Activa correspondientes a los segundos trimestres de ambos años. El ejercicio de propectiva supone la aplicación de una metodología input-output dinámica para predecir las relaciones existentes entre la demanda intermedia, la producción, los consumos intermedios totales y la demanda de empleo por sectores.

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File URL: http://www2.uah.es/iaes/publicaciones/DT_06_00.pdf
File Function: First version, 2000
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Instituto Universitario de Análisis Económico y Social in its series Working Papers with number 06/00.

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Length: 39 pages
Date of creation: Nov 2000
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:uae:wpaper:0600

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Keywords: Prospectiva; tablas input-output; demanda final; producción; consumos intermedios totales; empleo;

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