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Determinants of Electoral Outcomes: A simple Test of Meltzer and Richard's Hypothesis

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  • Benoît Le Maux

    (University of Rennes 1, CREM-CNRS)

  • Federica Minardy

    (Piemonte Orientale University)

  • Charlotte Magalhaes

    (University of Rennes 1)

Abstract

The present study aims to test Meltzer and Richard’s (1981) hypothesis that lower-income individuals vote for candidates who favor higher taxes and more redistribution. Assuming that left-wing parties advocate a general increase in taxation, we estimate a vote function for the French Cantonal elections. We show clear-cut evidence that an increasing proportion of voters receiving social assistance raises the number of votes in favor of left-wing parties. This result highlights the importance of including redistribution aspects when estimating a vote function.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Condorcet Center for political Economy in its series Economics Working Paper from Condorcet Center for political Economy at CREM-CNRS with number 2011-03-ccr.

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Date of creation: Nov 2011
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Handle: RePEc:tut:cccrwp:2011-03-ccr

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Postal: CREM (UMR CNRS 6211) - Faculty of Economics, 7 place Hoche, 35065 Rennes Cedex - France
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Keywords: Vote Function; Local Government; Redistribution; Party ideology;

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  1. Cribari-Neto, Francisco, 2004. "Asymptotic inference under heteroskedasticity of unknown form," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 45(2), pages 215-233, March.
  2. Meltzer, Allan H & Richard, Scott F, 1981. "A Rational Theory of the Size of Government," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 89(5), pages 914-27, October.
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