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Will Pulling Out the Rug Help? Uncertainty about Fannie and Freddie’s Federal Guarantee and the Cost of the Subsidy

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Author Info
Karan Bhanot (University of Texas at San Antonio)
Donald Lien (University of Texas at San Antonio)
Margot Quijano (University of Texas at San Antonio)
Abstract

Recent comments by the Federal Reserve Chairman have renewed concerns about whether the government would protect bondholders in the event of default by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (F&F). Using a model of capital structure, we analyze the impact of this uncertainty on the value of the implicit subsidy. We show that, counter to intuition, an increase in the likelihood that the government will not subsidize these entities via a guarantee may increase the expected cost of the subsidy to the Federal Government. A cap on the value of the investment portfolio of F&F is a more effective mechanism to reduce the risk exposure of the federal government. We also assess the design and impact of proposed receivership rules and highlight the problems in regulating GSE portfolios.

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Paper provided by College of Business, University of Texas at San Antonio in its series Working Papers with number 0035.

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Handle: RePEc:tsa:wpaper:0035

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Related research
Keywords: Fannie and Freddie; Capital Structure; subsidy;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services

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