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Do individuals recognize cascade behavior of others? An Experimental Study

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  • Grebe, Tim
  • Schmid, Julia
  • Stiehler, Andreas

Abstract

In an information cascade experiment participants are confronted with artificial predecessors predicting in line with the BHW model (Bikchandani et al., 1992). Using the BDM (Becker et al., 1964) mechanism we study participants' probability perceptions based on maximum prices for participating in the prediction game. We find increasing maximum prices the more coinciding predictions of predecessors are observed, regardless of whether additional information is revealed by these predictions. Individual price patterns of more than two thirds of the participants indicate that cascade behavior of predecessors is not recognized.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Free University of Berlin, Humboldt University of Berlin, University of Bonn, University of Mannheim, University of Munich in its series Discussion Paper Series of SFB/TR 15 Governance and the Efficiency of Economic Systems with number 180.

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Date of creation: Oct 2006
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Handle: RePEc:trf:wpaper:180

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Keywords: information cascades; Bayes' Rule; decision under risk and uncertainty; experimental economics;

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Cited by:
  1. Benjamin Enke & Florian Zimmermann, 2013. "Correlation Neglect in Belief Formation," Bonn Econ Discussion Papers bgse04_2013, University of Bonn, Germany.
  2. Georg Weizsacker, 2008. "Do we follow others when we should? A simple test of rational expectations," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 4945, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

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