The low velocity of circulation of money implies that households hold more money than they normally spend. This behavior is explained if households face uncertain expenditure needs, so that they have a precautionary motive for holding money. We investigate this motive in a search model where households are subject to preference shocks. The model predicts that the velocity is not only low but also interest elastic. The model closely fits United States data on velocity and interest rates (1892-2004). The empirical analysis reveals a dramatic reduction in precautionary balances towards the end of our sample, which is important for policy issues.
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Paper provided by University of Toronto, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number
tecipa-188.
Find related papers by JEL classification: E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
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Aleksander Berentsen & Gabriele Camera & Christopher Waller, .
"Money, Credit and Banking,"
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iewwp219, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - IEW.
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