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On Roots of Housing Bubbles

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  • Erdem Basci
  • Ismail Saglam

Abstract

This paper is about instability of equilibrium real rents in a pure exchange economy. Our main result hinges upon a low degree of substitutability between housing services and other commodities together with a low share of owner-occupied houses. We argue that regions or economies with a low share of owner-occupied houses are more prone to housing bubbles that are driven by locally unstable rent dynamics.

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File URL: http://ikt.web.etu.edu.tr/RePEc/pdf/0801.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by TOBB University of Economics and Technology, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 0801.

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Date of creation: Jul 2008
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Handle: RePEc:tob:wpaper:0801

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References

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  1. Monika Piazzesi & Martin Schneider & Selale Tuzel, 2004. "Housing, Consumption and Asset Pricing," 2004 Meeting Papers 357c, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  2. Reinhart, Carmen & Ogaki, Masao, 1998. "Intertemporal substitution and durable goods: long-run data," MPRA Paper 13683, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  3. Kenny, Geoff, 1999. "Modelling the demand and supply sides of the housing market: evidence from Ireland1," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 389-409, August.
  4. Daniel Kahneman & Jack L. Knetsch & Richard H. Thaler, 1991. "Anomalies: The Endowment Effect, Loss Aversion, and Status Quo Bias," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 5(1), pages 193-206, Winter.
  5. Campbell, John Y. & Cocco, Joao F., 2007. "How do house prices affect consumption? Evidence from micro data," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(3), pages 591-621, April.
  6. Shiller, Robert J, 1990. "Speculative Prices and Popular Models," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 4(2), pages 55-65, Spring.
  7. Angela Black & Patricia Fraser & Martin Hoesli, 2006. "House Prices, Fundamentals and Bubbles," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(9-10), pages 1535-1555.
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Cited by:
  1. Erdem Basci & Ismail Saglam, 2009. "Sticky Rents and the Stability of Housing Cycles," Working Papers 0901, TOBB University of Economics and Technology, Department of Economics.

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