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"Markov chain Monte Carlo method and its application to the stochastic volatility model"(in Japanese)

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Author Info

  • Yasuhiro Omori

    (Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo)

  • Toshiaki Watanabe

    (Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University)

Abstract

In the time series analysis of asset prices, the stochastic volatility models have recently attracted attentions of many researchers since it clearly describes time-varying variance of asset returns. However, it is difficult to evaluate the likelihood and obtain the maximum likelihood estimators of parameters for such models. We take Bayesian approach and use Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method to overcome such a problem. We first describe MCMC method and conduct a survey of the literature for its application to the stochastic volatility model. The empirical analysis of stock returns data is also given.

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File URL: http://www.cirje.e.u-tokyo.ac.jp/research/dp/2007/2007cj173.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo in its series CIRJE J-Series with number CIRJE-J-173.

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Length: 49 pages
Date of creation: Mar 2007
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:tky:jseres:2007cj173

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