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Does improving Public Transport decrease Car Ownership? Evidence from the Copenhagen Metropolitan Area

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  • Ismir Mulalic

    (Technical University Denmark, Denmark)

  • Ninette Pilegaard

    (Technical University Denmark, Denmark)

  • Jan Rouwendal

    (VU University Amsterdam, the Netherlands)

Abstract

Car ownership is lower in urban areas, which is probably related to the availability of better public transport. Better public transport thus may offer the possibility to relieve the many problems (congestion, health, and parking) associated with the presence of cars in urban areas. To investigate this issue, we develop and estimate a model for the simultaneous choice of a residential area and car ownership. The model is estimated on Danish register data for single-earner and dual-earners households in the greater Copenhagen metropolitan area. We pay special attention to accessibility of the metro network which offers particularly high quality public transport. Simulations based on the estimated model show that for the greater Copenhagen area a planned extension of the metro network decreases car ownership by 2-3%. Our results suggest also a substantial increase in t he interest for living in areas close to the metro network, that affects the demographic composition of neighbourhoods.

Suggested Citation

  • Ismir Mulalic & Ninette Pilegaard & Jan Rouwendal, 2015. "Does improving Public Transport decrease Car Ownership? Evidence from the Copenhagen Metropolitan Area," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 15-139/VIII, Tinbergen Institute.
  • Handle: RePEc:tin:wpaper:20150139
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    8. Alex Chernoff & Andrea N. Craig, 2022. "Distributional And Housing Price Effects From Public Transit Investment: Evidence From Vancouver," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 63(1), pages 475-509, February.
    9. Daniel Albalate & Albert Gragera, 2019. "“The impact of curbside parking regulations on car ownership”," IREA Working Papers 201909, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Jun 2019.
    10. Bondemark, Anders & Merkel, Axel, 2023. "Parking not included: The effect of paid residential parking on housing prices and its relationship with public transport proximity," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    11. Ismir Mulalic & Holger Rasmussen & Jan Rouwendal & Hans Henrik Woltmann, 2017. "The Financial Crisis and Diverging House Prices: Evidence from the Copenhagen Metropolitan Area," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 17-084/VIII, Tinbergen Institute.
    12. Vaclav Plevka & Paola Astegiano & Willem Himpe & Chris Tampère & Martina Vandebroek, 2018. "How Personal Accessibility and Frequency of Travel Affect Ownership Decisions on Mobility Resources," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-25, March.
    13. Borghorst, Malte & Mulalic, Ismir & van Ommeren, Jos, 2021. "Commuting, Children and the Gender Wage Gap," Working Papers 15-2021, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Economics.
    14. Pogonyi, Csaba G. & Graham, Daniel J. & Carbo, Jose M., 2021. "Metros, agglomeration and displacement. Evidence from London," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    15. Anupriya, & Graham, Daniel J. & Hörcher, Daniel & Anderson, Richard J. & Bansal, Prateek, 2020. "Quantifying the ex-post causal impact of differential pricing on commuter trip scheduling in Hong Kong," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 16-34.
    16. Martin, Rebecca & Xu, Yilan, 2022. "Is tech-enhanced bikeshare a substitute or complement for public transit?," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 63-78.
    17. Hankach, Pierre & Gastineau, Pascal & Vandanjon, Pierre-Olivier, 2022. "Multi-scale spatial analysis of household car ownership using distance-based Moran's eigenvector maps: Case study in Loire-Atlantique (France)," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    car ownership; public transport; residential sorting;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R4 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics
    • R1 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics
    • D1 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior

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