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Dual regime fiscal multipliers in converging economies - a simplified STVAR approach

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  • Michal Bencik

    (National Bank of Slovakia, Research Department)

Abstract

This paper assesses fiscal policy effects over the business cycle in V4 countries using a simplified smooth transition VAR (STVAR) model. The estimated parameters imply a presence of two different regimes associated with recessions and expansions, leading to different impulse-response functions. Transformation of these functions to fiscal multipliers confirms a different nature of long run effects. In expansions, the fiscal multipliers peak below unity and diminish to zero. In recession, the multipliers grow faster than in expansion and stay well above unity.

Suggested Citation

  • Michal Bencik, 2014. "Dual regime fiscal multipliers in converging economies - a simplified STVAR approach," Working and Discussion Papers WP 2/2014, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    • Handle: RePEc:svk:wpaper:1028
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Paweł Baranowski & Piotr Krajewski & Michał Mackiewicz & Agata Szymańska, 2016. "The Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy Over the Business Cycle: A CEE Perspective," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(8), pages 1910-1921, August.
    2. Stanova, Nadja, 2015. "Effects of fiscal shocks in new EU members estimated from a SVARX model with debt feedback," MPRA Paper 63148, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    V4 countries; fiscal multiplier; STVAR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus

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