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Keynes among the statisticians

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  • Aldrich, John
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    Abstract

    This paper considers J. M. Keynes as a statistician and philosopher of statistics and the reaction of English statisticians to his critique of their work. It follows the development of Keynes's thinking through the two versions of his fellowship dissertation The Principles of Probability (1907/8) to his book A Treatise on Probability (1921). It places Keynes's ideas in the context of contemporary English and Continental statistical thought. Of the statisticians considered special attention is paid to the reactions of four: Edgeworth, Bowley, Jeffreys and R. A. Fisher Keywords; keynes, edgeworth, bowley, pearson, jeffreys, fisher, lexis, bortkiewicz

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    File URL: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/42745/1/0611.pdf
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    Paper provided by Economics Division, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton in its series Discussion Paper Series In Economics And Econometrics with number 0611.

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    Date of creation: 01 Jan 2006
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    Handle: RePEc:stn:sotoec:0611

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    1. Conniffe, Denis, 1992. "Keynes on Probability and Statistical Inference and the Links to Fisher," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, Oxford University Press, vol. 16(4), pages 475-89, December.
    2. Hendry, David F., 1995. "Dynamic Econometrics," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, Oxford University Press, number 9780198283164, October.
    3. Stigler, Stephen, 2002. "Statisticians and the History of Economics," Journal of the History of Economic Thought, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(02), pages 155-164, June.
    4. Teddy Seidenfeld, 1995. "Jeffreys, Fisher, and Keynes: Predicting the Third Observation, Given the First Two," History of Political Economy, Duke University Press, vol. 27(5), pages 39-52, Supplemen.
    5. John Aldrich, 1992. "Probability and Depreciation: A History of the Stochastic Approach to Index Numbers," History of Political Economy, Duke University Press, vol. 24(3), pages 657-687, Fall.
    6. Rod O'Donnell, 1992. "The Unwritten Books and Papers of J. M. Keynes," History of Political Economy, Duke University Press, vol. 24(4), pages 767-817, Winter.
    7. Patinkin, Don, 1976. "Keynes and Econometrics: On the Interaction between the Macroeconomic Revolutions of the Interwar Period," Econometrica, Econometric Society, Econometric Society, vol. 44(6), pages 1091-1123, November.
    8. Bradley W. Bateman, 1990. "Keynes, Induction, and Econometrics," History of Political Economy, Duke University Press, vol. 22(2), pages 359-379, Summer.
    9. Toye, John, 2000. "Keynes on Population," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, Oxford University Press, number 9780198293620, October.
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