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The Relative Dynamics of Investment and the Current Account in the G-7 Economies

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Author Info
Hoffmann, M.

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Abstract

This paper contributes to the empirics of the intertemporal approach to the current account. We use a cointegrated VAR framework to identify permanent and transitory components of country-specific and global shocks. Our approach allows us to empirically investigate the sensitivity to persistence implied by many forward-looking models and our results shed new light on the excess volatility of investment encountered by Glick and Rogoff (JME 1995). In G7 data, we find the relative current-account and investment response to be in line with the intertemporal approach.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Economics Division, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton in its series Discussion Paper Series In Economics And Econometrics with number 0005.

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Date of creation: 01 Jan 2000
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Handle: RePEc:stn:sotoec:0005

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  1. Matthieu Bussiere & Georgios Chortareas & Rebecca L Driver, . "Current accounts, net foreign assets and the implications of cyclical factors," Bank of England working papers 173, Bank of England. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Michel Normandin & Bruno Powo Fosso, 2005. "Global versus Country-Specific Shocks and International Business Cycles," Cahiers de recherche 05-07, HEC Montréal, Institut d'économie appliquée. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. John C. Bluedorn, 2005. "Hurricanes: Intertemporal Trade and Capital Shocks," Economics Series Working Papers 241, University of Oxford, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Elif C. Arbatli, 2008. "Futures Markets, Oil Prices and the Intertemporal Approach to the Current Account," Working Papers 08-48, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
  5. Thomas Nitschka, 2005. "The U.S. consumption-wealth ratio and foreign stock markets: International evidence for return predictability," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005 22, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
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