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Global per capita CO2 emissions - stable in the long run?

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Author Info
Bjart Holtsmark () (Statistics Norway)

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Abstract

Global per capita CO2 emissions have been relatively stable during the last decades. It has been suggested that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and its scenario makers have ignored this stability. This paper presents a simple analytical framework explaining generally the stability of global per capita CO2 emissions during the last decades. The same analytical framework, supported by numerical illustrations, indicates that this stability is unlikely to persist and that current trends in regional per capita emissions are in close agreement with the IPCC scenarios

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Research Department of Statistics Norway in its series Discussion Papers with number 438.

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Date of creation: Oct 2005
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Handle: RePEc:ssb:dispap:438

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Related research
Keywords: Global carbon emissions; SRES; IPCC; scenarios.;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
Q30 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - General
Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply

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  1. Bjart J. Holtsmark and Knut H. Alfsen, . "PPP-correction of the IPCC emission scenarios - does it matter?," Discussion Papers 366, Research Department of Statistics Norway. [Downloadable!]
  2. Mark C. Strazicich & Ross McKitrick, 2005. "Stationarity of Global Per Capital Carbon Dioxide Emissions: Implications for Global Warming Scenarios," Working Papers 05-03, Department of Economics, Appalachian State University.
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