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Adaptive Learning and Emergent Coordination in Minority Games

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Author Info
Giulio Bottazzi
Giovanna Devetag
Giovanni Dosi

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Abstract

The work studies the properties of a coordination game in which agents repeatedly compete to be in the population minority. The game reflects some essential features of those economic situations in which positive rewards are assigned to individuals who behave in opposition to the modal behavior in a population. Here we model a group of heterogeneous agents who adaptively learn and we investigate the transient and long-run aggregate properties of the system in terms of both allocative and informational efficiency. Our results show that, first, the system long-run properties strongly depend on the behavioral learning rules adopted, and, second, adding noise at the individual decision level and hence increasing heterogeneity in the population substantially improve aggregate welfare, although at the expense of a longer adjustment phase. In fact, the system achieves in that way a higher level of efficiency compared to that attainable by perfectly rational and completely informed agents.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy in its series LEM Papers Series with number 1999/24.

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Date of creation: 03 Dec 1999
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Handle: RePEc:ssa:lemwps:1999/24

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Related research
Keywords: minority game; speculation; adaptive learning; market efficiency; emergent properties;

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  1. Willemien Kets, 2007. "The minority game: An economics perspective," Quantitative Finance Papers 0706.4432, arXiv.org. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Giorgio Fagiolo & Marco Valente, 2005. "Minority Games, Local Interactions, and Endogenous Networks," Computational Economics, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 41-57, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. John Duffy, 2004. "Agent-Based Models and Human Subject Experiments," Computational Economics 0412001, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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