Advanced Search
MyIDEAS: Login

Performances et politiques de croissance : un éclairage empirique à partir d’une étude de l’effet de la taille des pays et nouvelles réflexions théoriques

Contents:

Author Info

  • Mauro Napoletano

    (OFCE)

  • Jean-Luc Gaffard

    (OFCE)

Abstract

Les stratégies de croissance visent généralement à améliorer les conditions d’offre lesquelles sont censées déterminer le taux de croissance potentiel. La demande est reléguée au rang de variable qui n’influence le produit et l’emploi qu’à court terme. La condition sine qua non pour que cette affirmation soit vraie est que l’économie soit parfaitement coordonnée, quel que soit l’équilibre sur lequel elle est coordonnée. Si tel n’est pas le cas, les déséquilibres de marché se propagent, des effets d’hystérèse se manifestent, qui impliquent que la demande influence les performances à moyen terme. De fait, une analyse empirique des performances de croissance, des contributions de la demande et des politiques mises en œuvre dans différents pays de l’OCDE, sur deux périodes différentes, conforte cette appréciation. L’emploi des techniques non paramétriques d’analyse des distributions entre groupes de pays, en contrôlant pour la taille et l’appartenance à la zone euro, révèle des différences marquées de performances entre pays de taille différente, mais aussi de même taille. Ces différences sont davantage marquées au sein de la zone euro qu’à l’extérieur. Elles sont liées à des dynamiques divergentes des composantes de la demande ainsi qu’à des différences de stratégies budgétaires, d’ouverture et structurelles. De tels résultats empiriques appellent à réfléchir sur les voies et moyens d’une analyse de moyen terme des modes et des politiques de croissance.

Download Info

If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
File URL: http://spire.sciencespo.fr/hdl:/2441/eu4vqp9ompqllr09hc01napj8/resources/11-112.pdf
Download Restriction: no

Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Sciences Po in its series Sciences Po publications with number info:hdl:2441/eu4vqp9ompqllr09hc01napj8.

as in new window
Length:
Date of creation: Jan 2010
Date of revision:
Publication status: Published in Revue de l'OFCE, 2010, pp.213-248
Handle: RePEc:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/eu4vqp9ompqllr09hc01napj8

Contact details of provider:
Web page: http://www.sciencespo.fr/
More information through EDIRC

Related research

Keywords: croissance; demande; dynamique de distribution; politiques d’offre et de demande; taille des pays; zone euro;

Other versions of this item:

Find related papers by JEL classification:

References

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
as in new window
  1. Danny Quah, 1992. "Empirical cross-section dynamics in economic growth," Discussion Paper / Institute for Empirical Macroeconomics 75, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
  2. Aghion, P. & Howitt, P., 1989. "A Model Of Growth Through Creative Destruction," UWO Department of Economics Working Papers 8904, University of Western Ontario, Department of Economics.
  3. Alberto Alesina & Enrico Spolaore & Romain Wacziarg, 2003. "Trade, Growth, and the Size of Countries," Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers 1995, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research.
  4. Dani Rodrick, 2003. "Growth Strategies," Economics working papers 2003-17, Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria.
  5. Mauro Napoletano & Jean-Luc Gaffard, 2009. "Country Size, Appropriate Policy, and Economic Performance: Some Evidence from OECD Countries," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2009-08, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
  6. Durlauf, Steven N. & Johnson, Paul A. & Temple, Jonathan R.W., 2005. "Growth Econometrics," Handbook of Economic Growth, in: Philippe Aghion & Steven Durlauf (ed.), Handbook of Economic Growth, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 8, pages 555-677 Elsevier.
  7. Solow, Robert M., 2000. "Growth Theory: An Exposition," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, edition 2, number 9780195109030, Octomber.
  8. Easterly, William, 2005. "National Policies and Economic Growth: A Reappraisal," Handbook of Economic Growth, in: Philippe Aghion & Steven Durlauf (ed.), Handbook of Economic Growth, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 15, pages 1015-1059 Elsevier.
  9. Paul M Romer, 1999. "Endogenous Technological Change," Levine's Working Paper Archive 2135, David K. Levine.
  10. Amendola, Mario & Gaffard, Jean-Luc, 1998. "Out of Equilibrium," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198293804, Octomber.
  11. Romer, Paul M, 1986. "Increasing Returns and Long-run Growth," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 94(5), pages 1002-37, October.
  12. James Tobin, 1997. "Can We Grow Faster?," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1149, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  13. Vatcharin Sirimaneetham & Jonathan Temple, 2006. "Macroeconomic policy and the distribution of growth rates," Bristol Economics Discussion Papers 06/584, Department of Economics, University of Bristol, UK.
  14. James K. Galbraith, 1997. "Time to Ditch the NAIRU," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 11(1), pages 93-108, Winter.
  15. Aghion, Philippe & Howitt, Peter, 1992. "A Model of Growth Through Creative Destruction," Scholarly Articles 12490578, Harvard University Department of Economics.
Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

Citations

Lists

This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

Statistics

Access and download statistics

Corrections

When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/eu4vqp9ompqllr09hc01napj8. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Spire @ Sciences Po Library).

If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.