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Peut-on se relever d'une crise bancaire ? Analyse comparée de l'Irlande et de l'Islande

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Author Info

  • Céline Antonin

    (OFCE)

  • Christophe Blot

    (OFCE)

Abstract

En économie, les miracles s’avèrent parfois être des mirages. L’Islande et l’Irlande en font l’expérience. Ces deux petites économies ouvertes, paradis de la finance libéralisée et dérégulée, havres de croissance au début des années 2000, ont été frappées de plein fouet par la crise financière. La nationalisation quasi-intégrale des systèmes financiers qui en a résulté a pesé sur la dette publique de ces deux pays. Pour endiguer la hausse de la dette et les risques d’insoutenabilité, les gouvernements des deux pays ont, dès 2010, mis en œuvre des plans d’austérité budgétaire, mais avec une différence de taille : l’Irlande appartient à la zone euro, ce qui n’est pas le cas de l’Islande. La dernière Note de l’OFCE (n°25 du 4 février 2013) revient sur la situation financière et macroéconomique récente de ces deux pays afin de montrer dans quelle mesure les divergences de policy-mix peuvent rendre compte de trajectoires de sortie de crise différentes.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Sciences Po in its series Sciences Po publications with number info:hdl:2441/dambferfb7dfprc9m09b0a21l.

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Date of creation: Feb 2013
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Publication status: Published in Les notes du blog, 2013, pp.1-7
Handle: RePEc:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/dambferfb7dfprc9m09b0a21l

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