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When more flexibility yields more fragility : the microfoundations of keynesian aggregate unemployment

Author

Listed:
  • Giovanni Dosi

    (Laboratory of Economics and Management)

  • Marcelo Pereira

    (Universidade Estadual de Campinas)

  • Andrea Roventini
  • Maria Enrica Virgillito

    (Scuola Superiore Sant'Anna)

Abstract

Wages are an element of cost crucially affecting the competitiveness of individual rms. But the wage bill is also a crucial element of aggregate demand. Hence it could be that more “flexible"and fluid labour markets, while allowing for faster inter-firm reallocation of labour, may also render the whole economic system more fragile, more prone to recession, more volatile. In this work we investigate some conditions under which such a conjecture applies. The paper presents an agent-based model that investigates the effects of two “archetypes of capitalism", in terms of regimes of labour governance - defined by the mechanisms of wage determination, firing, labour protection and productivity gains sharing - upon (i) labour market regularities and (ii) macroeconomic dynamics (long-term rates of growth, GDP fluctuations, unemployment rates, inequality, etc..). The model is built upon the \Keynes meets Schumpeter" family of models (Dosi et al.,2010), explicitly incorporating different microfounded labour market regimes. Our results show that seemingly more rigid labour markets and labour relations are conducive to coordination successes with higher and smoother growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Giovanni Dosi & Marcelo Pereira & Andrea Roventini & Maria Enrica Virgillito, 2016. "When more flexibility yields more fragility : the microfoundations of keynesian aggregate unemployment," Sciences Po publications 2016-07, Sciences Po.
  • Handle: RePEc:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/9d007rc2q9huruni0kde2vr73
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    Keywords

    Involuntary unemployment; Aggregate demand; Wage determination; Labour market regimes; Keynesian coordination failures; Agent based models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity

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