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Incidences économiques, politiques et redistributives des réformes des retraites en Europe: Une exploration avec le modèle INGENUE

Author

Listed:
  • Michel Aglietta

    (Centre d'Etudes Prospectives et d'Informations Internationales)

  • Jean Chateau

    (UFR Mathématique et informatique)

  • Jacky Fayolle

    (Centre Etudes & Prospective)

  • Michel Juillard

    (Bases, Corpus, Langage)

  • Jacques Le Cacheux

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

  • Gilles Le Garrec
  • Vincent Touze

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

Abstract

Cet article présente trois simulations de l’impact de réformes des systèmes de retraite en Europe. Ces simulations sont réalisées avec le modèle INGENUE, modèle d’équilibre général calculable à générations imbriquées de l’économie mondiale. Les réformes envisagées sont des variantes autour d’un compte central qui postule le maintien d’un taux constant de remplacement des pensions sur les salaires nets. Les trois réformes étudiées sont : le maintien d’un taux constant de cotisation sociale, le maintien d’un taux constant de remplacement des pensions sur le salaire brut, et l’allongement de la durée d’activité. Les impacts de ces réformes sont alors examinés sous les angles économique, politique et redistributif.

Suggested Citation

  • Michel Aglietta & Jean Chateau & Jacky Fayolle & Michel Juillard & Jacques Le Cacheux & Gilles Le Garrec & Vincent Touze, 2002. "Incidences économiques, politiques et redistributives des réformes des retraites en Europe: Une exploration avec le modèle INGENUE," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/4321, Sciences Po.
  • Handle: RePEc:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/4321
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    File URL: https://spire.sciencespo.fr/hdl:/2441/4321/resources/2002-aglietta-chateau-fayolle-juillard-le-cacheux-le-garrec-touze-incidences-economiques-politiques-et-redistributives-des-reformes-des-retraites-en-europe.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Jacques Le Cacheux & Vincent Touzé, 2003. "Vieillissement et richesse des nations," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 84(1), pages 47-91.
    2. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/2087 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Michel Aglietta & Vladimir Borgy & Jean Chateau & Michel Juillard & Jacques Le Cacheux & Gilles Le Garrec & Vincent Touzé, 2005. "Scenario for Global Aging - An Investigation with the INGENUE 2 World Model," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-01072181, HAL.
    4. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/4441 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Vincent TOUZE & Michel AGLIETTA & Jean CHATEAU & Gilles LE GARREC & Michel JUILLARD & Jacques LE CACHEUX, 2010. "INGENUE v.2: a World OLG-CGE Model with Imperfect Financial Markets, Exchange Rates and Stochastic Lifetime," EcoMod2004 330600142, EcoMod.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Baby-boom; Systèmes publics de retraite; Finances sociales;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
    • H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
    • D63 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics - - - Equity, Justice, Inequality, and Other Normative Criteria and Measurement

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