IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/spo/wpmain/infohdl2441-3161.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Les déficits publics en Europe: Causes, conséquences ou remèdes à la crise ?

Author

Listed:
  • Jérôme Creel
  • Henri Sterdyniak

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

Abstract

La thèse selon laquelle la hausse des déficits et des dettes publics serait la cause essentielle du niveau élevé des taux d'intérêt réels n'a pas de sens dans la situation de demande insuffisante qu'a connue l'Europe depuis 1981. Cette hausse est apparue nécessaire pour soutenir l'activité et l'accumulation du capital, dans une situation où, du fait de la libéralisation financière, de la non-coordination des politiques monétaires, de l'indépendance des Banques centrales et des contraintes du SME, les États avaient perdu la maîtrise des taux d'intérêt. Retrou­ver cette maîtrise est l'enjeu crucial pour diminuer les taux d'intérêt réels, relancer la croissance, et donc réduire les dettes publiques.

Suggested Citation

  • Jérôme Creel & Henri Sterdyniak, 1995. "Les déficits publics en Europe: Causes, conséquences ou remèdes à la crise ?," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/3161, Sciences Po.
  • Handle: RePEc:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/3161
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://spire.sciencespo.fr/hdl:/2441/3161/resources/1995-creel-sterdyniak-les-deficits-publics-en-europe-2.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bovenberg, A.L. & Kremers, J.J.M. & Masson, P., 1991. "European and monetary union in Europe and constraints on national budgetary policies," Other publications TiSEM e75444ee-5393-4bcb-a600-8, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    2. Blinder, Alan S. & Solow, Robert M., 1976. "Does fiscal policy still matter? : A reply," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 2(4), pages 501-510, November.
    3. Thomas J. Sargent & Neil Wallace, 1984. "Some Unpleasant Monetarist Arithmetic," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Brian Griffiths & Geoffrey E. Wood (ed.), Monetarism in the United Kingdom, pages 15-41, Palgrave Macmillan.
    4. Wilcox, David W, 1989. "The Sustainability of Government Deficits: Implications of the Present-Value Borrowing Constraint," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 21(3), pages 291-306, August.
    5. Henri Delessy & Frédéric Lerais & Sébastien Paris-Horvitz & Henri Sterdyniak, 1993. "Après Maastrich : quelles politiques économiques en Europe ?," Revue de l'OFCE, Programme National Persée, vol. 43(1), pages 273-305.
    6. Trehan, Bharat & Walsh, Carl E., 1988. "Common trends, the government's budget constraint, and revenue smoothing," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 425-444.
    7. Luigi Spaventa, 1987. "The Growth of Public Debt: Sustainability, Fiscal Rules, and Monetary Rules," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 34(2), pages 374-399, June.
    8. Phelps, Edmund, 2015. "Seven Schools of Macroeconomic Thought," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198743903, Decembrie.
    9. Claude Giorno & Pete Richardson & Deborah Roseveare & Paul van den Noord, 1995. "Estimating Potential Output, Output Gaps and Structural Budget Balances," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 152, OECD Publishing.
    10. Eisner, Robert & Pieper, Paul J, 1986. "A New View of the Federal Debt and Budget Deficits: Reply," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 76(5), pages 1156-1157, December.
    11. de Leeuw, Frank & Holloway, Thomas M, 1985. "The Measurement and Significance of the Cyclically Adjusted Federal Budget and Debt," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 17(2), pages 232-242, May.
    12. Trehan, Bharat & Walsh, Carl E, 1991. "Testing Intertemporal Budget Constraints: Theory and Applications to U.S. Federal Budget and Current Account Deficits," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 23(2), pages 206-223, May.
    13. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/3161 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Buiter, W.H., 1992. "Should we Worry About the Fiscal Numerology of Maastricht?," Papers 654, Yale - Economic Growth Center.
    15. Christ, Carl F, 1969. "A Model of Monetary and Fiscal Policy Effects on the Money Stock, Price Level, and Real Output," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 1(4), pages 683-705, November.
    16. Willem H. Buiter, 1990. "Principles of Budgetary and Financial Policy," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262524139, December.
    17. Howell H. Zee, 1988. "The Sustainability and Optimality of Government Debt," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 35(4), pages 658-685, December.
    18. A. Lans Bovenberg & Jeroen J. M. Kremers & Paul R. Masson, 1991. "Economic and Monetary Union in Europe and Constraints on National Budgetary Policies," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 38(2), pages 374-398, June.
    19. G. A. Mackenzie, 1989. "Are All Summary Indicators of the Stance of Fiscal Policy Misleading?," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 36(4), pages 743-770, December.
    20. Infante, Ettore F. & Stein, Jerome L., 1976. "Does fiscal policy matter?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 2(4), pages 473-500, November.
    21. Henri Sterdyniak & Michèle Debonneuil, 1984. "La boucle prix-salaires dans l'inflation," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 35(2), pages 267-312.
    22. de Haan, Jakob & Siermann, Clemens L J, 1993. "The Intertemporal Government Budget Constraint: An Application for the Netherlands," Public Finance = Finances publiques, , vol. 48(2), pages 243-249.
    23. de Haan, J. & Sierman, C.L.J., 1993. "The Intertemporal Government Budget Constraint: A Review and Application for the Netherlands," Papers 556, Groningen State, Institute of Economic Research-.
    24. Christ, Carl F., 1978. "Some dynamic theory of macroeconomic policy effects on income and prices under the government budget restraint," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 4(1), pages 45-70, January.
    25. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/5289 is not listed on IDEAS
    26. Evans, Paul, 1985. "Do Large Deficits Produce High Interest Rates?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 75(1), pages 68-87, March.
    27. Peter S. Spiro, 1987. "The Elusive Effect of Fiscal Deficits on Interest Rates: Comment on Tanzi," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 34(2), pages 400-403, June.
    28. Hamilton, James D & Flavin, Marjorie A, 1986. "On the Limitations of Government Borrowing: A Framework for EmpiricalTesting," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 76(4), pages 808-819, September.
    29. Vito Tanzi & Mario I. Blejer & Mario O. Teijeiro, 1987. "Inflation and the Measurement of Fiscal Deficits," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 34(4), pages 711-738, December.
    30. Giovannini, A. & Spaventa, L., 1990. "Fiscal Rules in the Europen Monetary Union: A No-Entry Clause," Papers 8, Roma "la Sapienza" - Scienze Economiche.
    31. Blejer, Mario I & Cheasty, Adrienne, 1991. "The Measurement of Fiscal Deficits: Analytical and Methodological Issues," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 29(4), pages 1644-1678, December.
    32. P. R. Masson, 1985. "The Sustainability of Fiscal Deficits (De la persistance et du caractère soutenable des déficits budgétaires) (La persistencia de los déficit fiscales)," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 32(4), pages 577-605, December.
    33. Eric Jondeau, 1992. "La soutenabilité de la politique budgétaire," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 104(3), pages 1-17.
    34. Christ, Carl F, 1979. "On Fiscal and Monetary Policies and the Government Budget Restraint," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 69(4), pages 526-538, September.
    35. Charles Wyplosz & Jean Pisani- Ferry, 1990. "Les implications budgétaires de l'union monétaire," Revue de l'OFCE, Programme National Persée, vol. 33(1), pages 155-173.
    36. Eisner, Robert, 1984. "Which Budget Deficit? Some Issues of Measurement and Their Implications," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 74(2), pages 138-143, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/3161 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/2965 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Jérôme Creel & Henri Sterdyniak, 1995. "Les déficits publics en Europe," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03458224, HAL.
    4. Pierre-Yves Hénin, 1997. "Soutenabilité des déficits et ajustements budgétaires," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 48(3), pages 371-395.
    5. James E. Payne, 2003. "A Survey of the International Empirical Evidence on the Tax-Spend Debate," Public Finance Review, , vol. 31(3), pages 302-324, May.
    6. Athanasios Papadopoulos & Moïse Sidiropoulos, 1999. "The sustainability of fiscal policies in the European Union," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 5(3), pages 289-307, August.
    7. Ismet GOCER & Mehmet MERCAN, 2016. "Which country after Greece? Sustainability of budget deficits in selected EU countries: A panel cointegration analysis with multiple structural breaks under cross-section dependence," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(3(608), A), pages 205-220, Autumn.
    8. Carlos Vieira, 2004. "Unsustainable Fiscal Policies in the EU, A Legacy of the 1970s?," Economics Working Papers 1_2004, University of Évora, Department of Economics (Portugal).
    9. Jakob Korbinian Eberl, 2016. "The Collateral Framework of the Eurosystem and Its Fiscal Implications," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 69.
    10. Ismet GOCER & Mehmet MERCAN, 2016. "Which country after Greece? Sustainability of budget deficits in selected EU countries: A panel cointegration analysis with multiple structural breaks under cross-section dependence," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(3(608), A), pages 205-220, Autumn.
    11. Jérôme Creel & Henri Sterdyniak, 1999. "La politique monétaire sans monnaie," Revue de l'OFCE, Programme National Persée, vol. 70(1), pages 111-153.
    12. Bajo-Rubio, Oscar & Díaz-Roldán, Carmen & Esteve, Vicente, 2014. "Deficit sustainability, and monetary versus fiscal dominance: The case of Spain, 1850–2000," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 36(5), pages 924-937.
    13. Philip Arestis & Andrea Cipollini & Bassam Fattouh, 2004. "Threshold Effects in the U.S. Budget Deficit," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 42(2), pages 214-222, April.
    14. Evan Lau & Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah, 2005. "Assessing The Mean Reversion Behavior Of Fiscal Policy: The Case Of Asian Countries," Macroeconomics 0504002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Tilak Abeysinghe & Ananda Jayawickrama, 2013. "A segmented trend model to assess fiscal sustainability: The US experience 1929–2009," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 1129-1141, June.
    16. Cunado, J. & Gil-Alana, L. A. & Perez de Gracia, F., 2004. "Is the US fiscal deficit sustainable?: A fractionally integrated approach," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 56(6), pages 501-526.
    17. TINA M. Saeid Mahdavi, 2012. "Bohn’s Test of Fiscal Sustainability of the American State Governments The dramatic fall in state government revenues during the “Great Recession” and the resultant large budget deficits accentuated c," Working Papers 0030, College of Business, University of Texas at San Antonio.
    18. Sahar Bahmani, 2007. "Do budget deficits follow a linear or non-linear path?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 5(14), pages 1-9.
    19. Reicher, Claire, 2014. "Systematic fiscal policy and macroeconomic performance: A critical overview of the literature," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 8, pages 1-37.
    20. Golpe, Antonio A. & Sánchez-Fuentes, A. Jesus & Vides, José Carlos, 2023. "Fiscal sustainability, monetary policy and economic growth in the Euro Area: In search of the ultimate causal path," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1026-1045.
    21. Pastén, Roberto & Cover, James P., 2015. "Tax tilting and politics: Some theory and evidence for Latin America," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 208-218.
    22. Koo, Chung Mo, 2002. "Fiscal sustainability in the wake of the economic crisis in Korea," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 13(5), pages 659-669.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Déficit public; Dette publique; Politique monétaire; Croissance économique;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
    • H3 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents
    • H6 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/3161. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Spire @ Sciences Po Library (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ecspofr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.