Sovereign default risk and commitment for fiscal adjustment
Abstract
This paper studies fiscal policy in a model of sovereign debt and default. A time-inconsistency problem arises: since the price of past debt cannot be affected by current fiscal policy and governments cannot credibly commit to a certain path of tax rates, debtor countries choose suboptimally low fiscal adjustments. An international lender of last resort, capable of designing an implicit contract that coax debtors into a tougher fiscal stance via the provision of cheap (but senior) lending in times of crisis, can work as a commitment device and improve social welfare.Download Info
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Paper provided by University of São Paulo (FEA-USP) in its series Working Papers, Department of Economics with number 2012_23.Length:
Date of creation: 18 Sep 2012
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Handle: RePEc:spa:wpaper:2012wpecon23
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Keywords: fiscal adjustment; sovereign debt; sovereign default; time inconsistency; IMF;Other versions of this item:
- Gonçalves, Carlos Eduardo & Guimarães, Bernardo, 2012. "Sovereign default risk and commitment for fiscal adjustment," CEPR Discussion Papers 9163, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
- F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2012-10-13 (All new papers)
- NEP-CBA-2012-10-13 (Central Banking)
- NEP-DGE-2012-10-13 (Dynamic General Equilibrium)
References
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