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Scope of Electricity Efficiency Improvement in Switzerland until 2035

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  • Boris Krey

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    (Socioeconomic Institute, University of Zurich)

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    Abstract

    This study uses Markowitz mean-variance portfolio theory with forecasted data for the years 2005 to 2035 to determine efficient electricity generating technology mixes for Switzerland. The SURE procedure has been applied to filter out the systematic components of the covariance matrix. Results indicate that risk-averse electricity users in 2035 gain in terms of higher expected return, less risk, more security of supply and a higher return-to-risk ratio compared to 2000 by adopting a feasible minimum variance (MV) technology mix containing 28 percent Gas, 20 percent Run of river, 13 percent Storage hydro, 9 percent Nuclear, and 5 percent each of Solar, Smallhydro, Wind, Biomass, Incineration, and Biogas respectively. However, this mix comes at the cost of higher CO2 emissions.

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    File URL: http://www.soi.uzh.ch/research/wp/2008/wp0813.pdf
    File Function: first version, 2008
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Socioeconomic Institute - University of Zurich in its series SOI - Working Papers with number 0813.

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    Length: 25 pages
    Date of creation: Oct 2008
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:soz:wpaper:0813

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    Related research

    Keywords: Efficiency Frontier; Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HH); Power Generation; Mean-Variance Portfolio Theory; Seemingly Unrelated Regression Estimations (SURE); Shannon-Wiener Index (SW);

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    Cited by:
    1. Maurus Rischatsch & Maria Trottmann, 2009. "Physician dispensing and the choice between generic and brand-name drugs – Do margins affect choice?," SOI - Working Papers 0911, Socioeconomic Institute - University of Zurich.
    2. Ilja Neustadt & Peter Zweifel, 2009. "Economic Well-Being, Social Mobility, and Preferences for Income Redistribution: Evidence from a Discrete Choice Experiment," SOI - Working Papers 0909, Socioeconomic Institute - University of Zurich, revised Jan 2010.
    3. Maurus Rischatsch, 2009. "Simulating WTP Values from Random-Coefficient Models," SOI - Working Papers 0912, Socioeconomic Institute - University of Zurich.

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