This paper studies the notion that a rise in job insecurity, due to rising labor market uncertainty, leads to wage moderation - the ‘wage restraint hypothesis’. It begins by finding only mixed theoretical support for this hypothesis, as an increase in uncertainty generates an ambiguous effect on wages, although it raises job insecurity. Then, using industry data, it finds evidence of wage restraint, as volatility significantly lowers the share of(production) wages in value added.
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Paper provided by Université Libre de Bruxelles, Solvay Brussels School of Economics and Management, Centre Emile Bernheim (CEB) in its series Working Papers CEB with number
05-001.RS.
Find related papers by JEL classification: E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution
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