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Modelling and evaluation of the diffusion of electric vehicles: existing models, results, and proposal for a new model

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  • Jèrome Massiani

    (Università Cà Foscari,Venice,Italy)

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    Abstract

    In this paper we review the available methods, models and results about the diffusion of electric vehicles and the evaluation of related policy. We show that existing models often relate to contexts that are not relevant for the design of policies that could take place in Europe. We also find that many models rely on exogenous diffusion assumption and are not intended to simulate the effects of alternative policy packages, which can significantly limit their scope. Moreover we find that only a few of the studies presenting themselves as costs-benefit analysis really perform what they claim. We also draw some conclusions on the features of models that would be needed to derive recommendations relevant in the European policy framework

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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by SIET Società Italiana di Economia dei Trasporti e della Logistica in its series Working Papers with number 1106.

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    Length: 11 pages
    Date of creation: 2011
    Date of revision: 2011
    Handle: RePEc:sit:wpaper:11_06

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    1. Martin Achtnicht, 2012. "German car buyers’ willingness to pay to reduce CO 2 emissions," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 113(3), pages 679-697, August.
    2. Kazimi, Camilla, 1997. "Evaluating the Environmental Impact of Alternative-Fuel Vehicles," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 163-185, June.
    3. Frank M. Bass, 1969. "A New Product Growth for Model Consumer Durables," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 15(5), pages 215-227, January.
    4. Frank M. Bass, 2004. "Comments on "A New Product Growth for Model Consumer Durables The Bass Model"," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 50(12_supple), pages 1833-1840, December.
    5. John K. Dagsvik & Dag G. Wetterwald & Rolf Aaberge, 1996. "Potential Demand for Alternative Fuel Vehicles," Discussion Papers 165, Research Department of Statistics Norway.
    6. Fredrik Carlsson & Olof Johansson-Stenman, 2003. "Costs and Benefits of Electric Vehicles," Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, London School of Economics and University of Bath, vol. 37(1), pages 1-28, January.
    7. Kazimi, Camilla, 1997. "Valuing Alternative-Fuel Vehicles in Southern California," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 87(2), pages 265-71, May.
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